The Sextastic 10

So the Fantasy Playoffs are right around the corner and not everyone in the Fantasy world have the opportunity to own the Peyton Manning or Drew Brees’s. Some owners like to stream QBs week to week or some play the wire and pick up guys like Philip Rivers or Nick Foles. But when it comes down this year has been tough on Fantasy QBs. We have had Tom Brady struggle all year-long, we have seen Matt McGloin/Case Keenum/Josh McCown top starters in certain weeks and a top Fantasy QB (Aaron Rodgers) go down and questions surrounding his availability come Fantasy playoff time.

I am going to break down matchups for my 10 Sextastic Fantasy QBs that are available in a lot of fantasy leagues across the board and steer you in the right direction of who should be starting for you come Fantasy playoff time. They may not be the sexiest of names but they sure will get the job done.

I took the owning percentage from ESPN, CBS, Fox and Yahoo leagues across the board. This was recorded on 11/19 and may have changed prior to this being published.

Nick Foles (932 yards and 11 total TDs over the last 3 games)he is owned in 66% in ESPN, 78% Fox, 81% Yahoo and 98% CBS.

Week 14 vs. Detroit Lions – The Lions give up the 13th (17 PPG) most Fantasy points including giving up an average of 3 TDs to opposing QBs per game over the past 4 games.
Week 15 @ Minnesota Vikings – The Vikings give up the 3rd(19 PPG) most Fantasy Points. This team isn’t what they were last year and he would be a top 10 option maybe top 5 option for week 15.
Week 16 vs. Chicago Bears (be cautious of weather) – The Bears give up the 9th fewest Fantasy points to opposing QBs but can be thrown on. This isn’t’t the ideal matchup for Foles considering this would be mostly everyone Fantasy Championship game but guys like Stafford, Brees and RGIII had success against the Bears, so I find no reason Foles couldn’t as well.
Week 17 @ Dallas Cowboys The Cowboys are giving up the most Fantasy points to opposing QBs this year. In the 1st matchup between these two Foles was off to a terrible game in which he threw for only 80 yards before being knocked by concussion since that game he has been on fire. This is the matchup you would want if you with a title on the line.

I was surprised to see that Foles is still available in so many leagues across the board. Foles is the upper tier of QBs to own down the stretch and if he is available I would definitely pick him.

Jay Cutler/Josh McCown (800 yards and 5 TDs combined over the last 3 games) they are owned in 53/2.3% in ESPN, 43/7% Fox, 36/16% Yahoo and 69/34% CBS.

Now I don’t think it really matters who is playing at QB for any of these games. They both have succeeded under Trestman’s offense and both can be trusted in match-ups. The big upside with McCown is hasn’t thrown an INT in any of the 3 games he has appeared and Cutler can be a bit erratic sometimes.

Week 14 vs. Dallas Cowboys – The Cowboys are giving up the most Fantasy points to opposing QBs this year. This Cowboy D haven’t been healthy all year-long and have been torched for 3 or more touchdowns on 4 different occasions.
Week 15 @ Cleveland Browns  (be cautious of weather) The Browns rank 16th against opposing QBs and is giving up an average of 15 PPG. Over the course of the 1st 5 weeks of the season the Browns D held opposing QBs to 2 TDs since than they have given up 14 TDs. The Browns can be thrown on and this gives the pair a 2nd straight top matchup in a row.
Week 16 @ Philadelphia Eagles  (be cautious of weather) The Eagles are giving up the 8th most points to opposing QBs this year. This seems to be a different Eagles team over their 5 game winning streak but let’s not forget that Scott Tolzein and Terrell Pryor passed for a total of 680 yards on them. Cutler/McCown are both better than those guys. Fantasy QBs have scored 15 or more Fantasy points 7 out of 11 games.
Week 17 vs. Green Bay Packers –The Packers have given up the 10th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. McCown threw for 272 yards and 2 TDs against the Packers in week 9 and there is no reason to think that whoever is starting at QB couldn’t do the same again.

The Bears combo has an impressive slate down the stretch and they aren’t owned in very many leagues. My only concern with the pair is that the weather conditions of the last 3 games. Cold weather and snow may affect the passing game. If you can handcuff one with the other that would be perfect as we don’t know who will be playing QB week to week. Along with Foles (maybe even better) are the best QBs of the group to own for the ROS.

Alex Smith (579 passing yards, 99 rushing yards and 4 total TDs over the last 3 games) he is owned in 63% in ESPN, 54% in Fox, 58% in Yahoo and 65% in CBS.

Week 14 @ Washington Redskins – The Redskins are giving up the 5th most Fantasy Points to opposing QBs. Smith has a chance to be in the top 6-7 in Fantasy points for this week. As we all know Andy Reid likes to throw the football (Jamaal Charles owners know this) and Smith is averaging 36 attempts a game and is completing 58% of his passes. Now we also have to factor in that the Redskins are also terrible against the run and could hurt his value for this game but the matchup is enticing none to less.
Week 15 @ Oakland Raiders – The Raiders are giving up the 9th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. While on paper this matchup looks good but outside the 7 TD game to Foles this defense has only given up 3 passing TDs in their last 4 gamesand this includes holding Smith to 128 yards passing in week 6. I wouldn’t consider Smith a good option for this week.
Week 16 vs. Indianapolis Colts The Colts give up the 15th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. This could be a high scoring affair between these two teams and I think could be an ideal matchup to start Smith. The Colts are giving up an average of 273 yards and 2 TDs over the last 3 weeks to QBs.
Week 17 @ San Diego Chargers – The Chargers are given up the 4th most Fantasy Points against opposing QBs. Now we will know more about this matchup after Sunday when they play their 1st game against them but this matchup is another top 10 potential for Smith. The Chargers have also given up the 2nd most rushing yards to opposing QBs which could play a factor with Smith’s fantasy total.

Outside the matchup with the Raiders, Smith would be a great stream for weeks 14, 15 and 17. His ability to run the football is key as well as he has amassed 317 rushing yards this year which is already double than any years past. Of course there can be a cause for concern since he has 3 single digit outputs this year but other than the guys mentioned above he has some great value come playoff time.

Andy Dalton (705 yards, 5 TDs but 9 turnovers in his last 3 games) he is owned in 55% in ESPN, 79% in Fox, 81% in Yahoo and 97% in CBS.

Week 14 vs. Indianapolis Colts – The Colts give up the 15th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. As I stated earlier the Colts secondary has been exposed over the past couple weeks (819 yards and 6 TDs). The weapons that Dalton has at his disposal could create a huge mismatch for the Colts of defense. Love this matchup for him this week.
Week 15 @ Pittsburgh Steelers (be cautious of weather) –The Steelers give up the 11th fewest Fantasy points to opposing QBs. Dalton threw for 280 yards and a TD in the 1st matchup between the two but has struggled against the Steelers in Pittsburgh (412 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs in two games). I don’t like this matchup for him especially with the Steelers and the way they have played as of late.
Week 16 vs. Minnesota Vikings (be cautious of weather) The Vikings give up the 3rd most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. This is what I like to call a “money matchup”. The only potential problem with this game is the weather but outside of that this is the “ideal” matchup to have heading into a Fantasy Championship.
Week 17 vs. Baltimore Ravens (be cautious of weather) – The Ravens give up the 14th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs.Dalton really shot himself in the foot this game by throwing 3 INTs and the team lost in OT to the Ravens. I am not a fan of this matchup at all.

While the #GingaNinja (coined on Twitter) hasn’t been the most consistent fantasy QBs this year he has been good at the right times. With a great matchup in week 14 and an even better matchup in championship week (16) if Dalton is available I would definitely try to stash him now.

Joe Flacco (552 yards, 5 TDs and 5 INTs over the last 3 games) he is owned in 54% in ESPN, 58% in Fox, 54% in Yahoo and 61 % in CBS.

Week 14 vs. Minnesota Vikings – The Vikings give up the 3rd most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. I understand it has been a rocky season for Joe Cool and he has been really annoying, unreliable and downright unstartable in leagues but this is the week that if you own him, he wins you a playoff game. The Vikings are terrible against the pass and Flacco will take advantage of that and you should too.
Week 15 @ Detroit Lions – The Lions give up the 13th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. It took until week 7 before the Lions gave up over 20 points to opposing QBs. They have done it now in 3 out of their last 4 games. This game will be a shootout and I really like Flacco to have a solid game.
Week 16 vs. New England Patriots (be cautious of weather) –The Patriots give up the 17th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. As much as it pains me to say it Flacco owns the Patriots over their last 3 meetings. He has thrown for 928 yards and 8 TDs against them. Flacco could slump all year and he always brings it to the Pats.
Week 17 vs. Cincinnati Bengals – The Bengals give up 8th fewest Fantasy points to opposing QBs. Flacco only threw for 140 yards while tossing 2 TDs but also had 2 INTs. Not a good matchup for him.

Joe Cool has been anything but cool this year (yeah I know weak joke) but he has the right matchups for the Fantasy playoff run to give an honest look at. You would probably trust some of the other guys on this list first but Joe has been clutch in the past and who knows if the Ravens are in the playoff hunt he might turn it on.

Case Keenum (750 yards and 7 TDs over the last 3 games) he is owned in 17% in ESPN, 38% in Fox, 49% in Yahoo and 86% in CBS.

Now of course we have to be concerned that Kubiak pulled the plug on Keenum in the 3rd quarter of the game against the Raiders. It is definitely something worth monitoring but as of right now Kubiak says Keenum is his guy.

Week 14 @ Jacksonville Jaguars – The Jaguars are giving up the 2nd most Fantasy Points to opposing QBs and they are also tied for the least amount of INTs made by opposing teams against QBs. As we have seen over the past couple of games Keenum can sling the football and he has the weapons to do so. We will get to see what he does this Sunday against the Jaguars and be able to tell more what to expect in week 14 but they are coming a game which they let Carson Palmer man handle them by throwing for 419 yards and 2 TDs. Keenum is a top 5 option for available QBs for this week.
Week 15 @ Indianapolis Colts – The Colts are giving up the 15th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. If you haven’t seen highlights from the 1st matchup between Keenum and the Colts you might want to look that up. He threw for 350 yards and 3 TDs against the Colts in week 9 which could be a sign of things to come for him in week 15.
Week 16 vs. Denver Broncos – The Broncos are giving up the 11th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. The one thing I do like about this game is that Keenum is playing at home it would be a totally different story if this game was in Denver. Whether they are playing from behind or keeping pace, they are going to have to throw the football. You can find better options but if you want to ride with Keenum I see no problem with that.
Week 17 @ Tennessee Titans – The Titans ranks as one the best teams against the pass this year (29th). I would completely recommend against starting Keenum this week against Tennessee. Since week 5 they have only given up 1 TD pass. Look elsewhere for this game.

Keenum of course has to keep the job (which being 2-8 would make sense) in order for any of this to matter but if he does he has 2 ½ potentially awesome matchups. If you own good luck and expect big things, if not he is available in a TON of leagues.

Ryan Fitzpatrick (486 yards passing, 39 yards rushing and 4 total TDs over the last 2 games since taking over for Jake Locker) he is owned in 1% in ESPN, 3% in Fox, 6% in Yahoo and 17% in CBS.

Week 14 @ Denver Broncos – The Broncos rank as the 11th worst team against opposing Fantasy QBs this year. I am not a big fan of this matchup for Fitzpatrick at all even though the Broncos are giving up 17 PPG this year. The Broncos D has also created 13 INTs this year and Fitzpatrick has been known as a “gunslinger”. I would search other options for this week.
Week 15 vs. Arizona Cardinals – The Cardinals are giving up the 13th fewest Fantasy points against opposing QBs. Even though the Cardinals have been so good this year they haven’t been that great on the road against the pass. Quarterbacks are averaging 268 yards and almost 2 TDs a game in their 5 road games. This doesn’t rank as a top option for Fitz but I don’t think you could go wrong starting him this week either.
Week 16 @ Jacksonville Jaguars – The Jaguars are giving up the 2nd most Fantasy Points against opposing QBs. Fitzpatrick had a great game filling in for an injured Jake Locker in week 10 against the Jaguars. He threw for 264 yards, 2 TDs and even added one on the ground as he almost came back and beat the Jaguars after being down early. If you have a choice between Fitz and any of the guys on the list this week Fitz will probably trump them. This the best possible matchup for you in a Championship week and having streamed QBs all season.
Week 17 vs. Houston Texans – The Texans are giving up the12th fewest Fantasy points to opposing QBs. Jake Locker threw for 148 yards and 2 TDs against the Texans in week 2 loss to the Texans and while the Texans have been good against the pass as of late the story has been different. Their past three games they have given up 8 TD pass (including 3 by rookie Matt McGloin) and aren’t the same team the Titans faced in week 2. If you rode Fitz last week, I would have no problem doing so this week as well.

Fitzpatrick isn’t the “stud” fantasy QB you have always dreamed of but he will get the job done. Other than the game at Denver, Fitzpatrick has a juicy schedule for Fantasy owners and if you look at those percentages he is owned, you may be able to pick him up the week of his week 16 matchup against the Jaguars and have him carry you to a title.

Ryan Tannehill (705 yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs over the last 3 games) he is owned in 15% in ESPN, 27% in Fox, 26% in Yahoo and 42% in CBS.

Week 14 @ Pittsburgh Steelers (be cautious of weather) –The Steelers give up the 11th fewest Fantasy points to opposing QBs. On the road Tannehill has 10 total turnovers and at Pittsburgh, no thanks.
Week 15 vs. New England Patriots – The Patriots give up the 17th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. Late turnovers are what really cost Tannehill from having a good game. If he can duplicate success he had in the 1st half against New England at home, he could have a solid double-digit fantasy day.
Week 16 @ Buffalo Bills (be cautious of weather) – The Bills give up the 19th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. Another turnover frenzy (3 total) cost him another solid performance. He did finish with 16 Fantasy points in the game and if many of the options above are gone he really isn’t a bad choice for this week.
Week 17 vs. New York Jets – The Jets give up the 12th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. We will get a better feel for this matchup after week 13 as he faces the Jets on the road but the Jets have been rocked by QBs over the past few weeks. I’d like to see the matchup 1st but this seems like his best matchup of the playoff season.

“Turnover Tanny” (coined by @bdtitup) has his problems but has scored 14 or more Fantasy points in all but 3 games this season. If he can limit the turnovers before playoff season, he could be a solid Fantasy playoff QB.

Terrelle Pryor/Matt McGloin (498 yards passing, 219 yards rushing, 2 rushing TDs but 6 turnover over his last 3 games. McGloin threw for 197 yards and 3 TDs in his only start of the season.) The pair is owned in 28%/1% in ESPN, 21%/1% in Fox, 30%/1% in Yahoo and 54%/1% in CBS.

Now Pryor has struggled as of late (with 6 turnovers in 3 games) and been dealing with an injured knee which may ultimately cost him his job after the performance by McGloin in week 11. Pryor of course makes up for some/not all his mistakes by making plays on his feet.

Week 14 @ New York Jets – The Jets give up the 12th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. While the Jets have played some great D (mostly against the run) they have been exposed by QBs over the last 3 weeks (gave up 9 TDs in last 3 games). I don’t think this ranks among my favorite plays of the week but both guys would be serviceable for 15 to 20 points against the Jets.
Week 15 vs. Kansas City Chiefs – The Chiefs are giving up the 7th fewest Fantasy points to opposing QBs. Pryor was beat down by the Chiefs D in his 1st matchup against them. He was sacked 9 times and they forced 3 INTs. This is a terrible matchup for either QB and should look elsewhere.
Week 16 @ San Diego Chargers – The Chargers give up the 4th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. Pryor combined for 252 yards and 2 TDs against the Chargers in week 5 as they beat them 27-17. As the Chargers have improved against the pass over the course of  for 281 yards (added 36 on the ground) and tossed 1 TD pass against the Broncos in week 3. It was early in the season and I truly don’t like this matchup for the pair at all.

Now a ton of questions surround who will be the starter for the team and going forward you really shouldn’t own one without the other if you have to start either guy. We have only seen one game out of McGloin but there is no reason not to like what he did against a tough Texans pass D. He isn’t owned in a lot of leagues so you can monitor what he is doing from game to game basis to find out if he can sustain what we saw. Pryor isn’t the most reliable Fantasy QB but he can make plays with his legs and that can make him dangerous. They have 2 potentially good matchups during the playoffs and are definitely worth keeping an eye on in all leagues.

Mike Glennon (538 yards, 5 TDs and 1 INT over the last 3 games) he is owned in 1% in ESPN, 7% in Fox, 11% in Yahoo and 34% in CBS.

Week 14 vs. Buffalo Bills – The Bills are giving up the 19th most Fantasy points to opposing QBs. This isn’t the best matchup in the world for Glennon but it’s not as bad as it seems. He throws the ball a lot and does not turnover the ball. If none of these other guys are available, I wouldn’t mind if you ride with Glennon as an option.
Week 15 vs. San Francisco 49ers – The 49ers give up the 6th fewest Fantasy points to opposing QBs. I can’t recommend him at all for this matchup.
Week 16 @ ST. Louis Rams – The Rams give up the 10th fewest Fantasy points to opposing QBs. Another matchup like the Bills that I don’t love but don’t hate. This could really go either way for Glennon.
Week 17 vs. New Orléans Saints – The Saints give up the 3rd fewest Fantasy points to opposing QBs. Glennon wasn’t around for their 1st matchup and I don’t like him in this matchup.

Glennon has himself a running game over the past few weeks and his throwing the ball less and less each week. While Glennon doesn’t have a favorable schedule he could be serviceable in week 14 and 15 in 2QB leagues. Not the best option out but far from the worst you could do.

*special thanks to @Bdtitup for helping me name the article, make sure to give him a follow on twitter

You need lineup help? or help come Fantasy Playoff time? You can check me out on twitter @Rickygangster and ask any Fantasy Football related questions you want.

Also don’t forget to check out the Sports Script podcast every Sunday morning at 11am (EST) as we answer any and all start and sit questions.

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