Eight In The Box: IDP Waiver Wire Week 14

Eric Weddle
Weddle could put up some big numbers against New England this week

So let’s update the standings for my predictions from Week 13. I was lucky enough to get to participate in the Tuesday Night edition of the Fantasy Forecaster providing my offensive start and sit recommendations for the week so I have broken those out into their own section as well. This allows you to double check my results easily to make sure I am not making this stuff up!

It looks like I had another good week, going a combined 22-8-1. That’s a nice 72.5% success rate. If I can keep this level of success up, it might be time to take a trip to Vegas!

Week 13 results from the podcast:

Player Stats Start/Sit Result Type
Matthew Stafford 390 yds; 2 TD Start Win Offense
Cam Newton 194 yds; 49 rush; 1 TD Sit Win Offense
Rashad Jennings 91 yds; 3 yds; 2 TD Start Win Offense
Marshawn Lynch 104 yds; 0 TD Sit Loss Offense
Kenny Stills 5-162yds; 1 TD Start Win Offense
Julio Jones 10-189yds; 1 TD Sit Loss Offense
Larry Donnell 5-55yds; 0 TD Start Push Offense
Buffalo Team D 2 sack/3TO/TD/10 PA Start Win Offense
Green Bay Team D 1 sack/0 TO/21 PA Sit Win Offense

 Week 13 summary: 6-2-1 (72%)

 Week 13 results from the Sunday pod:

Player Stats Start/Sit Result Type
Calais Campbell 3/1/0 Start Win IDP
Charles Johnson 4/0/1/FR Start Win IDP
Robert Quinn 5/0/3 Sit Loss IDP
Justin Tuck 2/0/1/PD Start Win IDP
Telvin Smith 8/2/0 Start Win IDP
Sio Moore 6/1/0 Start Win IDP
Lawrence Timmons 3/2/0 Start Loss IDP
St Louis Team D 6 sacks/ 5TO/ TD/ 0 PA Start Win Offense
Andre Ellington 12 yds; injured Start Loss Offense
Odell Beckham vs Julio Jones Julio>ODB ODB Loss Offense
Jordan Reed 9-123 yds Start Win Offense
Danny Lansanah 13/1/0 Start Win IDP
Cameron Wake 2/1/1 Start Win IDP
Olivier Vernon 4/3/0 Start Loss IDP
Jelani Jenkins 8/8/0 Start Win IDP

 Week 13 summary: 10-5 (67%)

Season summary (since week 8): 52-21 (71%)

*IDP stats are listed as: solos/assists/sacks; PD = pass defensed, FR = fumble recover, INT = interception

Week 13 Results from this column:

Player Stats Start/Sit Result Type
Cameron Wake 2/1/1 Start Win IDP
Jared Allen 4/0/2/FR Start Win IDP
Everson Griffen 3/2/2/TD Start Win IDP
Jelani Jenkins 8/8/0 Start Win IDP
Mychal Kendricks 6/1/0 Start Win IDP
Von Miller 2/1/1.5 Start Win IDP
Ha Ha Clinton-Dix 3/3/0/PD Start Loss IDP
Barry Church 9/2/0/PD Start Win IDP
James Ihedigbo 1/0/0/INT/PD Start Win IDP

 Week 13: 8-1 (88%)

Season summary (weeks 10-13): 23-9 (72%); still compiling for full season

IDP Injuries of note:

  • Muhammad Wilkerson (NYJ DL): Wilkerson missed week 13 with a toe injury and is considered week to week. He was in a walking boot last week and is now out of it, so that is progress. Check back later in the week to see his status.
  • Brett Keisel (PIT DL): Keisel tore his triceps on Sunday against the Saints and has been placed on IR. He is done for the year. This will be a much bigger blow to the Steeler defense than it will be to any fake gamers.
  • Robert Ayers (NYG DL): Ayers suffered a torn pectoral against the Jaguars and will be placed on IR. He was mostly depth for IDP leaguers so this probably isn’t a huge loss to anyone.
  • Chandler Jones (NE DL): Jones is rumored to be  ready to roll in week 14 in pass-rush situations. I would wait a week and see what happens before getting him in your lineup.
  • Mathias Kiwanuka (NYG LB): Kiwanuka was placed on IR with a knee injury. He has always had a lot of promise with his size and speed but has never really lived up to that billing. It’s probably safe to not worry about him at all in the future.
  • Ryan Shazier (PIT LB): Shazier did not play in week 13 as discussed but should be back this week. I would stay away as you approach the fantasy playoffs since we have no idea what he may produce.
  • Jadeveon Clowney (HOU LB): What a disappointing year for 2 of the top IDP rookie linebackers out there. This nagging knee injury has sapped most of Clowney’s explosion and speed in addition to keeping him out most of the season. He is currently seeking a second opinion and his season may be in jeopardy. I would still target him as a buy-low in dynasty leagues.
  • Vontae Davis (IND DB): Davis suffered a concussion and is in the league-mandated protocol. You know the drill. Check back later to make sure he is progressing as the week moves along.
  • Tyrann Mathieu (ARI DB): Mathieu suffered a broken and dislocated thumb that will require surgery. He is expected to miss at least the next 3 weeks. He is safe to drop in re-draft leagues as he likely won’t be back until week 17.
  • Antoine Cason (FA DB): Cason was waived by Carolina. He started off hot but quickly took a nose dive to the point of losing his job. This just goes to show you that the DB’s position is volatile and not worth spending on in the draft. If you stream as the season goes along and you can usually find some solid contributors.

Who to play (or not):

DL:

  • Ziggy Ansah (DET DL): Ansah has been playing well over the past few weeks even if the pressures haven’t turned into sacks. He only has 1 sack over the last 3 games. This week he gets the porous Tampa Bay offensive line, so expect a big day.
  • Demarcus Ware (DEN DL): Ware is one of my all-time favorites for sheer consistency. For a few years he was a solid sack a game and it was virtually that consistent. It was a great to have in a sack-heavy scoring league. He is basically following that again this year with  only 4 no-sack games. This week, he gets Buffalo who will be behind big and I say he notches another sack or 2.
  • JJ Watt (HOU DL): I know everyone is starting this guy. Well, I am only going to count this as a win if he has 2 or more sacks and 4 or more tackles. He is gonna put up a monster game.

LB:

  • Chad Greenway (MIN LB): Anthony Barr has killed Greenway’s IDP value this year but he currently has a gimpy knee. If Barr is out this week against the Jets I see Greenway putting up a big game. Watch the reports, and if Barr is a no go get Greenway in your lineup.
  • Bobby Wagner (SEA LB): Wagner seems to be healthy now and he gets the gold matchup against the Eagles. Start him with confidence and expect big tackle numbers.
  • Danny Lansanah (TB LB): Tampa gets a nice matchup with Detroit and after last week’s monster outing without Lavonte David in the lineup look for another big performance in week 14. If David is out start Lansanah.

DB:

  • Eric Weddle (SD DB): Going against the Patriots should lead to a bunch of opportunities for Weddle this week. For the DB, opportunity is key.
  • Jonathan Cyprian (JAC DB): Cyprian has been a solid source of tackles at defensive back as he has a low of 3 solo tackles this season. With the Texans coming to town he will have chances to come up and support on the run. It should lead to tackles.
  • Kam Chancellor (SEA DB): The old rule of play your safeties against the Eagles pertains here. There should be a lot of opportunities and I expect Chancellor will get his share.

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/vxoX8P

Check out FantasyRundown.com for all of our latest articles and other great fantasy content.

Shane Gallimore is a fantasy football contributor and co-host of the live Sunday edition of The Fantasy Forecaster for The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @Gally4!

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The Weekly Stream: Defense; Week 14

Vikings Defense
The Vikings get the Geno Smith-led Jets in week 14

As I watch the Dolphins/Jets game wind down on Monday night, I click through my fantasy football lineups. I play in a lot of different leagues, and to be honest I did not do the best this year. The injury bug hit me hard in a couple of leagues, just missed by a game in a couple others, and in one league I just could not do anything right from the beginning. I do not look as closely at those leagues anymore, but instead look at the leagues where I am into the playoffs. I start looking at roster construction for next week, and how good (or bad) my matchups might be. Week 1 of the playoffs starts for many leagues in week 14, and so this week is crucial for picking the best lineups. This includes the best streaming options on defense. Last week, three of my leagues had a playoff spot that came down to one matchup. The guys who won all had defenses that had great weeks! They do make a difference. Before we look at week 14 targets, let’s see how we did last week:

Last Week’s Results:

The Rams were the highest scoring defense of the week after their 52-0 rout of the Raiders. If you took my advice, you were rewarded with 29 standard fantasy points. The Rams had 3 interceptions, 2 fumble recoveries, 6 sacks and a touchdown. Oh yeah, they didn’t allow a single point either. The Rams head to Washington to face a struggling Redskins team. Their ownership jumped to 50% last week, but if other owners in your league passed it’s time to make the add. The Colts played Washington last week and although they recorded a solid 11 fantasy points, I thought they would go completely nuts. They scored a touchdown and sacked Colt McCoy 6 times but allowed 27 points. The Texans are used to giving up points on a weekly basis, but this does not stop them from continuing to put up great fantasy numbers. JJ Watt led his unit to 11 fantasy points on the back of a fumble recovery and 3 interceptions. Houston heads to Jacksonville next week, meaning I don’t have to dig any deeper here. You know what to do.

Week 14 Targets:

I mentioned a couple of the defenses that I targeted last week and how their matchups this week are just as good, if not better than last week. Besides the Rams and Texans, here is another team to look at as we reach crunch time!

  • Minnesota Vikings: Mike Zimmer is a defensive genius. He has turned the Vikings defense from absolutely horrendous to reliable on a week-to-week basis. There are still a couple problems in the secondary but overall this defense is well improved and their fantasy numbers show it. Now they come home to TCF Bank Stadium and get the New York Jets. The Jets are coming off a short week after their Monday night loss to the Dolphins. And yes, Geno Smith is still awful. I’m expecting big things out of this unit in week 14.

NOTE: As the waivers come available this week make sure you take a look at the defenses that people are dropping to make room for other players. Many owners stick with one defense during the playoffs and kick the other one to the curb. While many of the defenses with great matchups this week are owned in 75-95% of leagues, that does not mean they are not available in your league. Watch the waiver wire closely this week as we head into the fantasy playoffs.

Good luck, and as always, happy streaming!

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/i7hWtQ

Check out FantasyRundown.com for all of our latest articles and other great fantasy content.

Jared “Minnesota Nice” Hines is a fantasy football contributor at The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @Jared_Hines27!

The Weekly Stream: Defense; Week 13

Josh Huff Kickoff Return
Different week, same result. Yet another touchdown for the Eagles D/ST. Is this unit matchup proof?

The best catch of the week, the year, and maybe the decade (depending who you ask) came in week 12 . Odell Beckham went up and somehow came down with the football, even after being grabbed by the Dallas defender. I have watched the catch on Vine over and over and I still cannot figure out how he caught that ball. After watching him play at LSU and seeing some of his warmup catches before last Sunday’s game, I am not surprised that he would be the one to do such a thing. I was watching the game with my brother and the catch actually made him yell out loud. He stood there in disbelief as we watched the replay over and over and over. Speaking of over and over and over, I have been the advocate for streaming any defense against Jacksonville this year. I have told you over and over and (for the most part) it has worked out in your favor. As we move to week 13, Odell’s New York Giants get to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars. While I do think that the fighting Giants will win this game, I do not believe that the Giants are a good streaming option this year. They are the 30th ranked defense in fantasy and haven’t proven that they can succeed, even when given great opportunity. Before I tell you who I do think will succeed, let’s take a look at how we did last week.

Last Week’s Results:

The Eagles have been the fantasy game’s best defense this year. It’s that simple, and while I am all for streaming a defense, the Eagles have been pretty matchup proof. You can use them on a weekly basis and expect great results. I recommended them last week, and the game started with Philly returning the opening kickoff 109 yards for a touchdown. They also tacked on an interception, two fumble recoveries and five sacks. This performance was good for 16 standard fantasy points. Money. My other recommendation was the Colts. Obviously we’re going to want to use them, they faced Jacksonville! 4 sacks, a fumble recovery and a pick later, the Colts defense did their job. They only gave up a field goal to the lowly Jacksonville offense. Oh, and the Colts get the Redskins at home this week.

Week 13 Targets:

  • Saint Louis Rams: The Rams are not having a very good season. The loss of quarterback Sam Bradford and other injuries on their line have left them struggling to win games. Currently 4-7, the Rams play their best when they play really good teams. 3 of their wins have come against the Broncos, Seahawks and 49ers. This week they get the Oakland Raiders, and while the Chiefs could not get it done against them, the Rams will be ready to play. Oakland is coming off their first win of the year and might not win another game for the rest of the year. The Rams have 4 interceptions in their last 3 games and have averaged 10 fantasy points in the past 4 weeks (41 to be exact). Only 24% owned, the Rams are a great streaming option in week 13.
  • Houston Texans: The Texans have been interesting all year. Their offense has struggled to keep it together, which has caused their defense to have to spend extra time on the field. They have one of, if not the best defensive line in football, and they have risen to the challenge. This week, the Texans have a date with the Tennessee Titans who just allowed 5 sacks in their last game. I expect at least that many for JJ Watt and the Houston defense. I’m not worried about the Titans putting up some points, as the Texans defense has proven valuable even while allowing some touchdowns. Houston is my play of the week, and the defense that I will look to stream going into the most important week of the year before the fantasy playoffs.
  • Indianapolis Colts: I love the Colts this year. Their defense is good, their quarterback is a rising star (maybe you’ve heard of him) and they just play great football. Earlier in this article I showed you how I used the Colts defense last week against the Jaguars and was rewarded for doing so. This week as I mentioned, Washington comes into Indianapolis and I expect much of the same. The Colts have had 5 double-digit fantasy weeks, 4 of them coming at home. Their ownership totals jumped up last week as many streamed them against the Jags but at just over 50% owned, it is worth a shot to see if you can snag them up in your league for the upcoming tilt.

In most leagues this is the final week before the playoffs and many teams need a win. If your defense has a bad matchup or a bad schedule for the playoffs now is the time to kick them to the curb. Allow the other teams in the league to pick up those defenses. Now is the time to play matchups and give yourself the best chance to win before it is too late and you are not even playing next week.

Good luck and happy streaming!

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/SloHxJ

Check out FantasyRundown.com for all of our latest articles and other great fantasy content.

Jared “Minnesota Nice” Hines is a fantasy football contributor at The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @Jared_Hines27!

NFL Pick ‘Em; Bovada Bets for Week 12

Over the course of the last two football seasons I have played with some pocket change on Bovada.lv. It’s a website where you can bet on the lines of NFL games to MLB games to The Oscars (seriously). Over time I have had a lot of fun making bets. I usually partake in betting on straight lines, but I’ve also been known to get involved in other kinds, including sweetheart teasers.

What is a sweetheart teaser?

A sweetheart teaser for the most part plays out the same way as a regular teaser, except a sweetheart gives the bettors even more points. You can shift the line by 10 to 13 points in football (that’s nearly two touchdowns). There are a couple of differences. While regular teasers can include up to 10 teams, a sweetheart can include only three or four teams. Also, if any of your selections push on a sweetheart, you lose the entire bet.

Also, check out this link to gain a better understanding of the NFL spread betting.

As you can see, sometimes the gamble can be quite large when betting a teaser. Who doesn’t like a good risk once in a while? From this week forward, I am going to outline some of the bets I love, hate and my sweetheart teaser of the week!

Week 11 Recap:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 (-105): I was a huge fan of this bet and it paid off handsomely. The Bucs jumped out to a 10-0 lead and never looked back, winning 27-7.

Cincinnati Bengals + 7 ½ (-115): The Saints haven’t been good at football all season. The Bengals were coming off some recent struggles but the line was too high for a team that just wasn’t playing well either. The Bengals took it to ’em and cleared another great bet.

San Diego Chargers – 10 ½:  This is a bet I was avoiding, but the Chargers came through and helped me make it a 3 for 3 week.

Sweetheart Teaser: This played out exactly how I anticipated. The Seahawks at +7, Raiders at +16 ½ and the Patriots at +9. I love betting sweetheart teasers, especially in weeks like this where they cleared completely.

Overall, I was 4-0 in my bets last week and look to carry that success into week 12!

As of this writing there are no lines on the Bengals/Texans, Dolphins/Chargers, Bills/Jets or Broncos/Dolphins.

Week 12 bets I love:

San Francisco 49ers -9 (-115)

Gut call here. Washington is God awful as we saw last week against Tampa. The 49ers defense is much better and they should smoke the ‘Skins in week 12. Always go with your gut!

Seattle Seahawks +7 (+110)

The other side of this line is being bet on heavily, as the -7 for Arizona is at -130 now. It’s understandable, as Seattle clearly isn’t the team it was a season ago. The Cardinals have been fantastic all season long. However, I don’t expect them to go into Seattle and beat the Seahawks with Drew Stanton at the helm. After a tough loss to Kansas City last week, I think Marshawn Lynch and company blow out the birds.

Ravens +3 ½

Yep, I’m picking on the Saints again this week. They are a 3 and a half point favorite against a better Ravens squad. It’s the dome factor, obviously. If the line was right at 3, I would not be as excited to jump on this bet. However, if the Saints do pull off a win, I think it’s by a field goal.

Week 12 bets I’m avoiding:

Indianapolis Colts -14 (-115)

There’s always a chance this game won’t be a blowout. I don’t like the bet. I’m not telling you not to make it, just not one I’m investing in this week.

My sweetheart teaser lock of the week:

teaser

We’ve already talked about the Seattle bet, and getting it at -1 is even sexier.

The Lions face a red-hot Patriots team in New England this weekend. The line is large because it will take place in chilly Foxboro. However, the Lions defense is legit and they can really rush the passer. If they can get to Brady, they have a shot to win. Even if they don’t though, I can’t see them losing by two touchdowns. I love the 13 ½ I’m getting. Sign me up.

The Buccaneers showed up last week and shut down the Redskins, but they have a tougher task in week 12, and that’s the Chicago Bears. The Bucs are also 4-1 against the spread on the road this season. Chicago is going to win this game but I can’t see them just destroying Tampa. With that, they are the third team in my teaser.

Ricky is a co-owner, fantasy sports writer and gambling man at The Sports Script. Follow him on the Twitter machine @rickygangster!

Ricky’s Week 12 5-Pack Fantasy Sleepers

Each week, Ricky Valero will unleash his 5-pack of fantasy sleepers for the upcoming week. These players are going to make for great value plays while you construct your weekly DFS lineups.

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Be sure to tune in to The Sports’s Scripts two weekly fantasy football shows as well! The Fantasy Forecatser: Football is live on Tuesday at 10 PM EST and Sunday morning before kickoff at 11:30 AM EST! You can stream live or subscribe here.

For season-long fantasy football chatter, follow Ricky on Twitter @rickygangster!

The Fantasy Forecaster: Week 12 Start/Sit

Ricky was joined by fellow TSS writer Doug Moore and they discussed their Must Start/Must Sit for week 12.

Here is the short version of the show just telling who we picked.

You can also subscribe/download on iTunes here. Leave a rating, don’t be shy!

Make sure to follow Ricky (@rickygangster) and Doug (@DMM0822) on Twitter!

The guys will be back next week (November 25th)! Get your questions in on Twitter using the #TSS tag.

Waiver Wire Wizardry: Pickups for Week 12

Quarterback:

Brian Hoyer (14% Y!): In terms of efficiency (20-50 on pass attempts), this was not a great game for Hoyer. However, he did have 330 yards passing, including a touchdown. Hoyer should be be added because Josh Gordon will be back in week 12! There’s also an outside chance that tight end Jordan Cameron gets back into the mix. Gordon has been practicing at the team’s facility and should be up to date on the playbook. Hoyer is a decent game manager and should be able to succeed with Gordon’s return. Andrew Hawkins sticks around as his possession receiver and we already know the Browns have three capable running backs. As we inch closer to the fantasy playoffs, Hoyer is a player I’m watching. His arrow is pointing up.

Mark Sanchez (53% Y!): I wouldn’t look too much into Sanchez’s performance on Sunday, as it was decent. The Eagles simply got outplayed by a red hot Green Bay team and could not keep Aaron Rodgers and company out of the end zone. Sanchez compiled most of his stats in garbage time (26-44, 346 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT) against one of the tougher defenses in the NFC. Simply based on the scheme Philly runs, Sanchez should still slot in as an attractive fantasy option. Sanchez and his buddies get a poor Titans offense in week 12, making him a solid waiver addition at quarterback.

Running Back:

Jonas Gray (19% Y!): Have a day Mr. Gray! New England did a brilliant job of controlling the game and Gray was a big part of that. He rumbled for 199 yards on 38 carries, while scoring four times on Sunday night against the Colts. Gray has obviously earned the trust of New England’s coaching staff and at the very least has molded himself a role moving forward. Gray and the Patriots face tough rush defenses in the coming weeks and the New England game-plan is tough to predict any given day so it’s tough to predict what he does from here on out. Those in need of running back help should still make the add to acquire Gray, as he figures to at the very least get goal-line carries in the immediate future.

Tre Mason (50% Y!): Well, no one saw this coming. The Rams came out and…beat the Broncos? Tre Mason was a big part of this upset. He tallied 113 yards on 29 carries and it was the first time all season the Broncos allowed an opposing running back to reach the century mark. Mason continues to distance himself from the pack (which is basically only Benny Cunningham at this point) and has two great matchups ahead (Chargers, Raiders). Mason should be owned and used in all formats. Start him as a borderline-RB2 in week 12.

C.J. Anderson (65% Y!): Anderson was the starter on Sunday and while he only rushed for 29 yards on 9 carries, he had a great day receiving with 8 receptions for 86 yards. With the sudden rash of injuries to the Broncos, it’s going to be hard for Manning and company not to rely on Anderson in the coming weeks. Montee Ball re-injured his groin this past weekend and may not return until the playoffs and Ronnie Hillman is out at least another week or two. Anderson will enter week 12 as a borderline-RB1 and should be started in every fantasy league.

Wide Receiver:

Josh Gordon (77% Y!): Did you just get the internet or something?

Jordan Matthews (62% Y!): Matthews has scored 3 times in 2 weeks and has over 100 yards receiving in both games. He and Mark Sanchez have a nice little connection and Matthews should be one of the Eagles’ most targeted pass-catchers moving forward. The man is in the WR2 discussion and Philly has a nice week 12 matchup against the Titans. Take full advantage and add the dude!

Malcom Floyd (37% Y!): So far this season, Floyd has 50 targets, 32 receptions, 577 yards and 4 touchdowns. That comes out to a weekly average of 5.0 targets, 3.2 receptions, 57.7 yards receiving and 0.4 TD. Breaking it down even further, that means an average score of 11.3 points in PPR leagues and 8.9 points in standard leagues. Not bad for a guy who has been under the radar most of the season. He’s done all this despite a week 2 output of only 1 target. Floyd is a player to own as a lower-end starting wideout option for the coming weeks.

Tight End:

Coby Fleener (38% Y!): Fleener has taken Allen’s spot on my weekly waiver wire piece, and for good reason. He had 7 catches on 7 targets for 144 yards Sunday night against New England. This was because Dwayne Allen left the game with an ankle injury and did not return. If Allen has a serious enough injury that keeps him from playing next week, Fleener needs to be picked up. Given the shallow nature of the tight end pool, Fleener could be a top-10 weekly option if Allen misses time. Grab him just in case.

Check out FantasyRundown.com for all of our latest articles and other great fantasy content!

Doug Moore is a fantasy football contributor at The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @DMM0822!

NFL Pick ‘Em; Bovada Bets for Week 11

Over the course of the last two football seasons I have played with some pocket change on Bovada.lv. It’s a website where you can bet on the lines of NFL games to MLB games to The Oscars (seriously). Over time I have had a lot of fun making bets. I usually partake in betting on straight lines, but I’ve also been known to get involved in other kinds, including sweetheart teasers.

What is a sweetheart teaser?

A sweetheart teaser for the most part plays out the same way as a regular teaser, except a sweetheart gives the bettors even more points. You can shift the line by 10 to 13 points in football (that’s nearly two touchdowns). There are a couple of differences. While regular teasers can include up to 10 teams, a sweetheart can include only three or four teams. Also, if any of your selections push on a sweetheart, you lose the entire bet.

Also, check out this link to gain a better understanding of the NFL spread betting.

As you can see, sometimes the gamble can be quite large when betting a teaser. Who doesn’t like a good risk once in a while? From this week forward, I am going to outline some of the bets I love, hate and my sweetheart teaser of the week!

Week 10 Recap:

Saints -6: Seriously the Saints go ahead with less than 2 minutes to go in the 4th and I’m ready to jump for joy as my sweetheart teaser is going to be 2 for 2! And them boom, Colin Kaepernick completes a 50-yard pass to Michael Crabtree, setting up the game-tying field goal. After that, the rest was history. I always bet the Saints at home, ugh.

Ravens -10: I won’t lie, I was a little nervous about this game and wasn’t sure we would get the cover. A late touchdown secured this bet though, making me a happy camper.

Steelers – 6: I talked this up all week everywhere! Trap game. I loved the Jets getting 6 points against a hot Steelers team. The masses have short attention spans. Recency bias, anyone? Sure, Pittsburgh had been on fire over the past couple of weeks, but they have been bad against teams with records below .500. The Jets actually ended up winning outright.

Sweetheart Teaser: The Jets did their part in this and the rest was just a disaster. The Saints blew it and the Panthers got murdered! Very sad day for the teaser.

Overall, I was 2-1 in the matchups but my teaser fell down for the week.

Week 11 is upon us and there are some very interesting matchups. Let’s dive right in; cannonball!

Week 11 bets I love:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 (-105)

Can someone please explain to me how the Washington Redskins are favorites by 7 points against anyone in the National Football League? That makes no sense and I am going to pounce on this game. I really don’t think Tampa is as bad as their record would tell us. This is what I like to call an easy money bet.

Cincinnati Bengals +7 1/2 (-115)

When the Bengals lose, they really lose. In their 3 losses, they’ve been outscored 84-20. Yikes! Still, a 7 and a half point spread is enticing. The orange and black have some fast, talented players, meaning the Saints’ 24th ranked pass defense will be on notice. This spread is too high in favor of the home team.

Week 11 bets I’m Avoiding:

San Diego Chargers -10 1/2

This bet will probably see a lot of action in favor of the Chargers but I think this Raiders team is going to play spoiler down the stretch. Oakland is 3 and 1 against the spread on the road this season. This smells like a trap game to me.

  • 49ers – 4 1/2
  • Giants + 4 1/2

I don’t like either side of this bet. Either team could come out and win. It’s hard to know which 49ers team will show up any given Sunday and the Giants have just had an odd season. Steer clear.

My sweetheart teaser lock of the week:

123

So you already know about my love for the Raiders this week, so let me talk about the other 2 bets on this week’s sweetheart teaser.

  • The Seahawks +7 (on the road against the Chiefs): This game really is a toss up. Kansas City could very well come out and beat this Seahawks team, I just don’t think it will be by a touchdown. Seattle just isn’t as good as they were a season go (obviously). Easy teaser here.
  • New England Patriots +9 (on the road against the Colts): The Colts are a very good football team but I think they are a bit overrated on the defensive side of the ball. Give Belichick and the Patriots two weeks to prepare for this Colts team and I will take 9 points wherever the game is. No chance the Pats fail to cover.

That’s a very confident teaser for me this week. So lets roll the dice and make some money, folks.

Ricky is a co-owner, fantasy sports writer and gambling man at The Sports Script. Follow him on the Twitter machine @rickygangster!

Waiver Wire Wizardry: Pickups for Week 11

Quarterback:

Drew Stanton (1% Y!): It’s Stanton time again as Carson Palmer went down in the 4th quarter on Sunday with what is being reported as a possible torn ACL in his left knee. If that is the case, Stanton would be the starting quarterback for the remainder of the season. He has led the Cardinals to 2 wins in 3 games so far this season without throwing a pick. He played well in relief of Palmer, including a 48-yard beauty of a pass to John Brown for the game-winning touchdown. Stanton has good working knowledge of the offense and isn’t afraid to throw the ball down the field. Given the weapons at Stanton’s disposal, he may be worth a look.

Eli Manning (57% Y!): We all thought Manning would be doomed after losing Rashad Jennings and Victor Cruz. Blasphemy! Even though the Giants are still losing, he’s still done pretty well for himself. Since week 4, Manning has thrown 8 touchdowns to just 1 interception. He played a decent game on Sunday against a tough Seattle defense, passing for 283 yards through the air with a touchdown. He has really connected with Odell Beckham, and the Giants are expected to get workhorse Rashad Jennings back soon. He should help to open up the passing game for New York when he returns. Manning is a decent option if you just lost Carson Palmer for the season.

Running Back:

Terrance West (55% Y!): West appears to have shaken control of the Cleveland’s committee backfield approach after rushing for 96 yards on 26 carries Thursday night, adding a touchdown. Head coach Mike Pettine insists that the Browns will ride the hot hand and the running back situation will remain fluid on a week-to-week basis though, limiting West’s immediate fantasy value. However, West has been really productive over the past couple of weeks and should continue to headline this running game in the weeks ahead. In such a run-heavy scheme, West needs to be owned in more than 55% of leagues. He makes for a solid weekly flex play.

Carlos Hyde (33% Y!): In limited action, Hyde did a hell of a job. He has only 4 carries for 36 yards, but found pay dirt. San Fransisco did a lot of good work on the ground and Hyde may be given more touches in the coming weeks. They have been conservative with aging tailback Frank Gore (he’s only had 20 carries twice all year) for most of the season and Carlos Hyde has shown that he can be trusted, making him valuable to owners even outside the obvious handcuff situation. Stay tuned.

Tre Mason (46% Y!): Mason gained 48 yards on 14 carries Sunday while adding 33 yards on 4 catches; a decent showing for the rookie tailback against a stout Niners defense. Labeled a “committee” by head coach Jeff Fisher, it’s clear that Mason is the lead runner. Not only is he their best option in the backfield, but may be their most talented weapon entirely on offense. Benjamin Cunningham did vulture a rushing score, but saw only 4 carries while Zac Stacy kept the bench warm. Mason should continue to get the bulk of the work for the Rams in the weeks to come, making him ownable in most leagues.

Wide Receiver:

Bryant
Bryant has the made the most of his opportunities since being inserted into Pittsburgh’s lineup

Martavis Bryant (62% Y!): Another week, another touchdown for Bryant. This is becoming a weekly occurrence for the 6 foot 5 Clemson standout. His touchdowns are usually the product of his ability to find open space in the red zone. However, his week 10 score came on an 80-yard catch-and-run play where Bryant showed off his wheels. Bryant was targeted 7 times and racked up 141 receiving yards Sunday against the Jets, signaling his WR3 upside. Antonio Brown of course dominates Roethlisberger’s looks, which leaves Bryant to fight Markus Wheaton for targets. Bryant played only 50% of Pittsburgh’s snaps on Sunday, but that was to be expected and it is clear that he makes the most of his opportunities. Go get’m.

Odell Beckham Jr. (68% Y!): Not only should this guy be owned, but he should be started in the vast majority of formats. He embarrassed Richard Sherman on a 44-yard pass and constantly won battles against all of Seattle’s corners on Sunday night. Beckham has evolved into the lesser Manning’s favorite target in recent weeks and is putting up big numbers. He’s got 264 yards receiving over the last two weeks to go along with 19 targets and 15 catches. Manning has been having trouble getting on the same page with Rueben Randle and teams are constantly focusing on Larry Donnell, leaving Beckham to reap the rewards. Put all the chips in the middle, this is probably your last call.

Tight End:

Mychal Rivera (33% Y!): Rivera has been a garbage time monster of late. It’s no news that the Raiders just aren’t very good, so it is likely that these scenarios will continue. Both Rivera and quarterback David Carr have been bright spots in in an offense that has otherwise been bad. Rivera has 26 targets, 21 catches and 3 touchdowns over his last 3 weeks, making him a valuable bye-week replacement for those in need. Rivera will likely be usable for the foreseeable future given the connection that he and Carr seem to have.

Charles Clay (57% Y!): Over the past two weeks, Clay has been targeted 17 times. During that span, he’s hauled in 12 passes for 110 yards and a touchdown. Still, Clay has yet to live up to the lofty expectations placed on him entering the season. However, considering how top-heavy the tight end position has been to date Clay is probably worth a look down the stretch.

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/aMGnFM

Doug Moore is a fantasy football contributor at The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @DMM0822!