Waiver Wire Wizardry: Pickups for Week 16

Harry Douglas
Whenever Julio Jones or Roddy White can’t go, Harry Douglas becomes an attractive fantasy option

Quarterback:

Robert Griffin III (31% Y!): Despite not starting this week, Griffin had a solid game in relief of Colt McCoy, who re-injured his neck on Sunday. Going up against an average Giants defense, Griffin finished with 236 yards and a touchdown. He also scrambled for 46 yards as well and almost rushed for a score. Griffin is at his best when he uses his legs, which he did yesterday. Despite the pedestrian stat line otherwise, it was a productive day for Griffin compared to what he has done this season. McCoy should be highly questionable for week 16 and Griffin will probably start even if the former is cleared. He faces an Eagles defense that has given up some big plays. RG3 will be a high-end QB2 this week.

Eli Manning (61% Y!): Despite losing Victor Cruz earlier in the season, Manning was paired up with budding superstar Odell Beckham JR. The young wideout had a decent game yesterday (Editor’s note: decent?!). Manning had 250 yards passing with 3 touchdowns (all to Beckham) and put up top-five numbers. Going up against a St. Louis defense that didn’t record an interception against the likes of Drew Stanton and Ryan Lindley, Manning should be viewed as a high-end QB2 due to the Rashad Jennings injury, which will likely force the G-men into more passing situations.

Running Back:

Matt Asiata (38% Y!): Facing an extremely tough Lions front seven, Asiata managed 86 combined yards and a touchdown, hauling in 7 receptions. With Jerick McKinnon out for the season and no possible way of Adrian Peterson returning, Asiata has been the main guy for the Vikings the past few weeks and should continue to be moving forward. Asiata is not an efficient running back, but he is trusted by the Vikings coaching staff and has been getting the bulk of the work, making him an interesting add. Minnesota’s opponent, the Miami Dolphins gave up 79 yards rushing and a touchdown to the duo of LaGarrette Blount and Jonas Gray last week. View him as a mid-tier RB3 in standard leagues.

Andre Williams (59% Y!): Williams came on in relief of Rashad Jennings, who re-injured his ankle on Sunday. Williams finished with 44 yards  on 18 carries against an extremely tough Redskins run defense. With the Giants out of the playoff hunt, it would be wise to expect Williams to be the starter for the rest of the season. While not much can be expected out of him in the receiving game, he is a hard runner who should see the majority of work in week 16 against the Rams defense. As good as the Rams defense has been, they gave up 136 rushing yards between the committee of Kerwynn Williams and Stepfan Taylor last Thursday. Williams should be considered a low-end RB2 with upside heading into your league’s championship.

Latavius Murray (56% Y!): Murray had a somewhat disappointing but efficient day against a stout Chiefs’ run defense. He managed 4.9 yards per carry (12 carries for 59 yards) and had 6 targets in the passing game as well. Murray has taken over the Raiders’ run game almost completely and is one of the only offensive producers in Oakland right now. The Raiders have a tough matchup against a terrific Bills defense on Sunday, but Murray will be the focal point in the offensive plan again and should be a lock for 12-15 touches. With his explosiveness and athleticism, Murray should be seen as an RB3.

Wide Receiver:

Harry Douglas (25% Y!): Douglas had a terrific game starting in place of the injured Julio Jones. He was targeted 14 times, hauling in 10 catches for 131 yards. He even had more targets and receptions than Roddy White. Jones was a game time decision but never even got a chance to test out his hip before the contest. Jones is no guarantee to suit up this week, making Douglas an attractive waiver wire add. Even if Julio does play, there’s a chance he could be used simply as a decoy. Douglas could have another great game against a Saints defense that has struggled this season. Douglas is a high-upside WR3 that could evolve into a solid WR2 if Jones can’t go.

Jarvis Landry (45% Y!): In 3 of Miami’s last 4 games, Landry has seen 11 targets. On Sunday he was again targeted 11 times, catching 8 passes for 99 yards. Undoubtedly the most consistent receiver in Miami, Landry has put up solid numbers over the past 7 weeks, averaging 8.57 targets, 6.57 receptions, 59.57 yards and .57 touchdowns per contest. That is an average of 15.94 points in PPR leagues, making him a solid WR2.

Charles Johnson (32% Y!): Johnson had another solid game versus Detroit, finishing with 5 receptions for 72 yards on 7 targets. In a hard-fought matchup with the Lions, Johnson tied for the most targets with Matt Asiata and Kyle Rudolph. His five receptions were also the second highest on the team. Teddy Bridgewater continues to use Johnson as his favorite wide receiver and nothing shows that this will change moving forward. Johnson is a mid-tier WR3 with a lot of upside in a slightly easier matchup with the Dolphins in week 16.

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/cz64ZC

Check out FantasyRundown.com for all of our latest articles and other great fantasy content!

Doug Moore is a fantasy football contributor at The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @DMM0822!

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Waiver Wire Wizardry: Pickups for Week 15

Jonathan Stewart
Stewart had the best game of his career in week 14. If fellow tailback DeAngelo Williams misses more time, Stewart should carry the mail

It’s week 15 and fantasy football playoffs are underway! In a world where Peyton Manning only scores 2 points, anything is possible. Take a peak at your league’s waiver wire and see if any of these players are available. Good luck and hopefully I’ll see you back here next week for the championship edition of this column.

Quarterback:

Johnny Manziel (22% Y!): Unfortunately, Browns HC Mike Pettine doesn’t believe in winning. Otherwise, he would’ve named Manziel the starting quarterback for week 14 rather than sticking with Hoyer. After another putrid performance by Hoyer, Pettine has to make the change and insert Manziel into the offense. Manziel brings another dimension to the Browns offense with his ability to run, which compliments his strong arm. Manziel should be named the starter this week at some point and will immediately enter the low-end QB1 discussion. He could be the diamond in the rough for fantasy owners now that playoffs are underway.

Derek Carr (7% Y!): Carr has been arguably the most impressive rookie signal caller this season despite the lack of an offense around him. Against a very tough San Fransisco defense, Carr threw for 254 yards and 3 touchdowns. He does have another difficult matchup next week against the Chiefs, but Carr has proven that even in bad matchups he can put up solid stats. If you need a streamer for week 15, he could be your guy.

Running Back:

Jonathan Stewart (40% Y!): With the backfield all to himself, Stewart had a heck of a day against the Saints. He ran for 155 yards and a touchdown on 20 carries, giving him one of the best games in his career. DeAngelo Williams may be out for more than just this week with a serious finger injury, and with another juicy matchup for JStew (Tampa Bay) in week 15, he could be a low-end RB2. Even if Williams plays, Stewart would still command most of the touches and could have another great game against another weak division opponent.

Daniel Herron (59% Y!): Herron had a tough game on Sunday against the Browns. He was stifled on the ground, gaining only 26 yards on 8 rushes. ‘Boom’ had a relatively good day for owners in PPR leagues, though. He was targeted 7 targeted times, catching 4 balls for 45 yards. Herron has taken over Ahmad Bradshaw’s role in the offense as the primary pass-catching back. There’s real value in that. He’s clearly the most talented back on the team meaning his role should continue to grow. In fact, with the game on the line late in the 4th quarter, he was in the game and was even granted a goal-line draw. There’s RB2 upside here.

Kerwynn Williams (2% Y!): Williams is probably the shocker of the week. Just signed from the practice squad, Williams drew 19 carries for 100 yards despite Stepfan Taylor starting the game for Arizona on Sunday. Taylor only carried the ball 7 times. Further, Willians saw most of the snaps during the 2nd half of Sunday’s game. This is good news, as it looks as though Williams is going to be the man for the near future with Andre Ellington done for the remainder of the season. While it’s hard to trust him after just 1 game, he is an immediate add in all formats.

Wide Receiver:

Charles Johnson (19% Y!): The size and speed freak is at it again. He is the clear #1 receiver and target in the Vikings’ offense and he had another great game on Sunday, catching 4 balls for 103 yards and a score. He also drew 8 targets and nearly had another touchdown but fumbled at the goal line. Johnson is a definite mid-tier WR3 for week 15 despite the tougher matchup against the Lions. He keeps improving every week.

Jarvis Landry (47% Y!): Over the past 6 games, Landry has had at least 5 receptions. He does have a tough matchup against New England’s secondary next weekend, but with Darrelle Revis expected to cover Mike Wallace, we could be seeing a lot of Landry. He has proven to be extremely consistent and efficient for not only fantasy owners, but for Ryan Tannehill as well. Landry will be a mid-tier WR3 in standard leagues and a low-end WR2 in PPR formats, especially with him playing out of the slot.

Martavis Bryant (59% Y!): Bryant finished Sunday’s game with 6 targets and over 100 yards receiving. He flashed his gaudy speed on a 94-yard catch and run for a touchdown, showing us his big play ability. Bryant can’t be relied on to make a great play like that every week, but with how well the Steelers’ offense is clicking right now, Martavis could continue to have opportunities to rack up fantasy points, making him a low-end WR3 with a lot of upside. Owners feeling lucky should add Bryant, who is facing a very weak Falcons’ defense next in week 15.

Tight End:

Mychal Rivera (24% Y!): Rivera had a career day on Sunday, finishing with 7 receptions for 109 yards and a touchdown on 7 targets. He was clicking with Carr all day and was constantly making plays in the big upset victory over San Fransisco. He has been inconsistent this season, as he put up duds the past 2 weeks before this great performance. However, with how porous the tight end position is in fantasy, Rivera will be a startable option next week againat Kansas City. He has proven that he can go on multi-week runs, and he could be starting another one.

Jordan Cameron (56% Y!): Cameron finally returned on Sunday after missing over a month with a concussion. He did not have the best of days, but not bad considering the circumstances and also the lack of serviceable play from Brian Hoyer. He had 5 targets and 4 receptions for 41 yards, numbers that could certainly climb if Manziel is inserted as the starting quarterback. Cameron should still be considered a low-end TE1 moving forward and one of the more attractive options at the position facing a Bengals defense that gave up a score to Heath Miller this past weekend.

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/QlHga8

Check out FantasyRundown.com for all of our latest articles and other great fantasy content!

Doug Moore is a fantasy football contributor at The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @DMM0822!

Waiver Wire Wizardry: Pickups for Week 14

It's time!
It’s time!

The fantasy playoffs are here! Read this thoroughly to make sure you are making the right additions to help win your league! You can thank me later with a portion of your winnings, of course.

Quarterback:

Johnny Manziel (11% Y!): Ladies and gentlemen, it is time. As much as it pains me to say this because I am a fan of Brian Hoyer, Manziel was put in the game late on Sunday at Hoyer’s expense. Manziel threw for just 63 yards but rushed for a touchdown. Head coach Mike Pettine declined to comment on who would be starting next weekend, but it’s become evident that Manziel gives the Browns the best chance to win. If Manziel does indeed get the nod, everyone in this offense gets a boost, including Josh Gordon. Considering his ability to run the ball, Manziel could wind up as a borderline QB1 this week. Stay tuned.

Colt McCoy (5% Y!): In a much needed move, RG3 was benched in Washington. Next up? Colt McCoy. The Redskins didn’t win on Sunday, but McCoy had a great day fantasy wise (besides the 4 fumbles, but I digress). He threw for 392 yards and 3 scores in a loss to the Colts. He did lose DeSean Jackson to a leg injury, but it is believed to only be a fibula contusion. Jackson was in a lot of pain but this week in practice will show if he can play or not. Regardless, Andre Roberts would step up in his place, along with a now-healthy Jordan Reed and Pierre Garcon. McCoy is a QB2 play for week 14.

Running Back:

Daniel Herron (47% Y!): “Boom” had a day on Sunday, with 88 yards rushing and a touchdown. He also had 2 catches for 8 yards. Herron and Trent Richardson split the carries evenly but the former played a much better game. I expect Herron to take over lead duties as soon as this week, and should fill the role left by Ahmad Bradshaw. Boom did have another fumble on Sunday, and that’s something he needs to fix right away. If he does, look for him to get more work moving forward and find himself in the RB2 discussion.

LaGarrette Blount (63% Y!): Blount finished Sunday with 10 rushes for 58 yards against Green Bay. He did not have the game many expected against a weak Packers run defense, but still had an impressive 5.8 YPC and got the majority of New England’s backfield carries (Bolden 3, Gray 1, Vereen 3). Blount will probably get the majority of the reps in the power run game moving forward, but again, the Patriots are tough to figure out and it’s hard to rely on any of their backs from week to week. He needs to be owned, and warrants flex discussion in the immediate future.

Latavius Murray (49% Y!): Murray did not play on Sunday, and it’s probably good he didn’t. The Raiders were demolished 52-0 by the Rams. Murray is out with a concussion he suffered in his breakout game last Thursday night. He is progressing and has a good chance to be ready for Sunday. Murray will be worth a look this week, but be aware that Oakland will face a tough 49ers run defense. His ceiling is high, but his matchups over the remainder of the season are not favorable. He’ll be a low-end flex play upon his return.

Wide Receiver:

Donte Moncrief (4% Y!): Have a day, Mr. Moncrief! The talented rookie wideout is yet another example of how this year’s draft class was one of the best in recent memory. He had a 3/134/2 line against the Redskins on Sunday, scoring on 2 long plays. Moncrief is clearly entrenched as Andrew Luck’s number 3 receiver and weekly upside play, although consistent production may be hard to count on. If you’re looking for a weekly home run threat, he’s probably your man.

Kenny Stills (41% Y!): Since Brandon Cooks went down with an injury, Kenny Stills has been money and has more than picked up the slack. Stills dropped a 5/162/1 line on the Steelers Sunday as Drew Brees targeted him 6 times. Many in the industry thought that Marques Colston would be the one to benefit from the Cooks injury, but Stills has been the one to step up. The speedster is now a weekly WR2 and should be owned across the board.

Robert Woods (6% Y!): Woods is a bit of a wild card. Over the past two games, Woods has had a 13/189/1 line with 18 targets. With opposing teams being so concerned with stopping Sammy Watkins, Kyle Orton has had to resort to throwing the ball elsewhere. Woods is looking like that guy, ad he was targeted 7 times on Sunday. Since being taken by the Bills in the 2013 draft, Woods has had to deal with terrible quarterback play in Buffalo. Not void of talent, this could be the chance for him to show the league what he can do.

Tight End:

Jordan Reed (49% Y!): Reed finished week 13 with 9 receptions and 123 yards on 11 targets. Colt McCoy seems to like throwing to him and there has never been a question of ability here. If healthy, he’s a player you want to start, especially considering the dearth of talent at tight end. As long as he is on the field, he’s a TE1 and could continue to produce very good numbers for the remainder of the season.

Jordan Cameron (54% Y!): Cameron has sat the last 5 weeks with a concussion. But the good news is that he practiced all week and could practice again this week which should put him on track to return in week 14. With Johnny Manziel presumably taking over the offense, Cameron could put up great stats with a dynamic signal caller under center. As with Reed, Cameron is a TE1 when he is on the field and could be good to go for a fantasy playoff run.

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/cir1CA

Check out FantasyRundown.com for all of our latest articles and other great fantasy content!

Doug Moore is a fantasy football contributor at The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @DMM0822!

Waiver Wire Wizardry: Pickups for Week 13

The final week of the regular season for standard leaguers is upon us. Check your waiver wire to see if any of these players are available and good luck in week 13!

Quarterback:

Ryan Tannehill (66% Y!): After the Broncos lost in stunning fashion to St. Louis last weekend, Miami almost handed Denver a second straight defeat, as the Broncos narrowly won in an offensive showdown. The main reasons Miami nearly upset the Broncos was because of Ryan Tannehill’s play, as he produced 4 touchdowns; 3 through the air and 1 on the ground. Tannehill has been terrific over the past 4 games for the Dolphins, with 10 touchdowns to only 2 picks. He’s made a solid connection with rookie wide receiver Jarvis Landry (see below) and has a terrific matchup this week against the dreadful Jets’ secondary. He is a low-end QB1 that could really help you if you’re on the cusp of a fantasy playoff appearance.

Running Back:

Murray
Is there finally a member of the Raiders worth using in fantasy circles?

Latavius Murray (24% Y!): This man set the world on fire last Thursday, rushing 4 times for 112 yards and 2 scores in only one half of football. He went down with a concussion, but it was a Thursday night game and this is Murray’s first ever concussion. He should have no problem getting cleared by Friday and will likely be ready to go against a putrid Rams defense. Head coach Tony Sporano indicated that after this performance, Murray would be granted even more work. He’s got a very high ceiling and could even wind up in the low-end RB2 discussion.

LaGarrette Blount (30% Y!): What a turn of events for Blount over the last 10 days. He was released by the Steelers early last week, only to sign on with New England (the team he played for in 2013) to a 2-year deal. Blount was only expected to be a change of pace back, but with Jonas Gray foolishly oversleeping and missing practice, the keys to the run game were handed over to LaGarrette. He stepped into a familiar offense and showed the same tough running skills that made him so popular with the New England coaching staff a season ago. Gray did not even receive a carry and may be in the doghouse for good, leaving Blount as the primary rusher with Shane Vereen as the main pass catcher. Blount had 2 rushing scores on Sunday aganst a very tough Lions defense and should be considered a low-end RB2 this week.

Wide Receiver:

Jarvis Landry (21% Y!): The “other” LSU rookie wideout (opposite to Odell Beckham Jr.) makes his debut on this list after putting together a string of 4 solid performances. Quickly emerging as Ryan Tannehill’s favorite target, Landry has at least 5 catches in the past 4 games. Further, he’s scores 4 times and has at least 46 yards receiving in each game during that span. He’s putting up solid numbers and is coming off of a 2-touchdown game against Denver on Sunday. In leagues that award extra points for return yards, he’s even more valuable. Landry is a mid-tier WR3 and a low-end WR2 in PPR leagues, thanks to ability to play in the slot.

Kenny Stills (34% Y!): While every other fantasy football writer was predicting Marques Colston to see a big boost in production in the wake of Brandin Cooks’ season ending thumb/hand injury, this guy (points at self) predicted Kenny Stills to see an uptick in production. Stills set a career high in targets (9) and catches (8) in only the first game since Cooks went down. Stills’ uptick in targets along with a terrific rest-of-season schedule make him a receiver to snatch up now and utilize as a higher-end WR3.

Charles Johnson (2% Y!): Johnson began the season as somewhat of a sleeper. He was waived early on by the Browns and was subsequently picked up by the Vikings. Over the past 2 weeks, it seems as though Johnson has emerged as Teddy Bridgewater’s favorite target. During this span, he’s hauled in 9 (18 targets) passes for 139 yards while finding pay dirt once. With Minnesota’s other aerial threats being next to invisible (I’m looking at you, Cordarrelle), Johnson is in a great position to produce. Unfortunately, we have to temper our expectations for him right now and make him a high-end WR4. However, Johnson has a very high ceiling and another great performance could elevate him to WR3 status.

Tight End:

Tim Wright (15% Y!): The man that was supposed to take over for Aaron Hernandez in New England had not really been used much before Sunday. As Rotoworld points out, Wright had never played more than 21 snaps in a game and all of a sudden played 61 out of 81 snaps against the Lions. He had 5 catches for 36 yards and 2 touchdowns on 6 targets. Now this could be a game-specific explosion, or it could be the start of something and owners shouldn’t hesitate. He’s a high-risk start, but probably needs to be owned in more leagues. The tight end class is crap and we know that. Make it happen.

Kyle Rudolph (47% Y!): When it came to potential breakouts in 2014, Rudolph was one of the more talked about players at the tight end position. He’s disappointed so far, mainly due to a groin injury that kept him inactive for all but 4 games, but he is back on the field and should be ready to produce. He played 61 of 69 snaps on Sunday and had 5 targets as well. He should be seen as a low-end TE1 right now who could strike gold for owners who scoop him up for the fantasy playoffs.

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/pSHmt8

Check out FantasyRundown.com for all of our latest articles and other great fantasy content!

Doug Moore is a fantasy football contributor at The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @DMM0822!

NFL Pick ‘Em; Bovada Bets for Week 12

Over the course of the last two football seasons I have played with some pocket change on Bovada.lv. It’s a website where you can bet on the lines of NFL games to MLB games to The Oscars (seriously). Over time I have had a lot of fun making bets. I usually partake in betting on straight lines, but I’ve also been known to get involved in other kinds, including sweetheart teasers.

What is a sweetheart teaser?

A sweetheart teaser for the most part plays out the same way as a regular teaser, except a sweetheart gives the bettors even more points. You can shift the line by 10 to 13 points in football (that’s nearly two touchdowns). There are a couple of differences. While regular teasers can include up to 10 teams, a sweetheart can include only three or four teams. Also, if any of your selections push on a sweetheart, you lose the entire bet.

Also, check out this link to gain a better understanding of the NFL spread betting.

As you can see, sometimes the gamble can be quite large when betting a teaser. Who doesn’t like a good risk once in a while? From this week forward, I am going to outline some of the bets I love, hate and my sweetheart teaser of the week!

Week 11 Recap:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 (-105): I was a huge fan of this bet and it paid off handsomely. The Bucs jumped out to a 10-0 lead and never looked back, winning 27-7.

Cincinnati Bengals + 7 ½ (-115): The Saints haven’t been good at football all season. The Bengals were coming off some recent struggles but the line was too high for a team that just wasn’t playing well either. The Bengals took it to ’em and cleared another great bet.

San Diego Chargers – 10 ½:  This is a bet I was avoiding, but the Chargers came through and helped me make it a 3 for 3 week.

Sweetheart Teaser: This played out exactly how I anticipated. The Seahawks at +7, Raiders at +16 ½ and the Patriots at +9. I love betting sweetheart teasers, especially in weeks like this where they cleared completely.

Overall, I was 4-0 in my bets last week and look to carry that success into week 12!

As of this writing there are no lines on the Bengals/Texans, Dolphins/Chargers, Bills/Jets or Broncos/Dolphins.

Week 12 bets I love:

San Francisco 49ers -9 (-115)

Gut call here. Washington is God awful as we saw last week against Tampa. The 49ers defense is much better and they should smoke the ‘Skins in week 12. Always go with your gut!

Seattle Seahawks +7 (+110)

The other side of this line is being bet on heavily, as the -7 for Arizona is at -130 now. It’s understandable, as Seattle clearly isn’t the team it was a season ago. The Cardinals have been fantastic all season long. However, I don’t expect them to go into Seattle and beat the Seahawks with Drew Stanton at the helm. After a tough loss to Kansas City last week, I think Marshawn Lynch and company blow out the birds.

Ravens +3 ½

Yep, I’m picking on the Saints again this week. They are a 3 and a half point favorite against a better Ravens squad. It’s the dome factor, obviously. If the line was right at 3, I would not be as excited to jump on this bet. However, if the Saints do pull off a win, I think it’s by a field goal.

Week 12 bets I’m avoiding:

Indianapolis Colts -14 (-115)

There’s always a chance this game won’t be a blowout. I don’t like the bet. I’m not telling you not to make it, just not one I’m investing in this week.

My sweetheart teaser lock of the week:

teaser

We’ve already talked about the Seattle bet, and getting it at -1 is even sexier.

The Lions face a red-hot Patriots team in New England this weekend. The line is large because it will take place in chilly Foxboro. However, the Lions defense is legit and they can really rush the passer. If they can get to Brady, they have a shot to win. Even if they don’t though, I can’t see them losing by two touchdowns. I love the 13 ½ I’m getting. Sign me up.

The Buccaneers showed up last week and shut down the Redskins, but they have a tougher task in week 12, and that’s the Chicago Bears. The Bucs are also 4-1 against the spread on the road this season. Chicago is going to win this game but I can’t see them just destroying Tampa. With that, they are the third team in my teaser.

Ricky is a co-owner, fantasy sports writer and gambling man at The Sports Script. Follow him on the Twitter machine @rickygangster!

Ricky’s Week 12 5-Pack Fantasy Sleepers

Each week, Ricky Valero will unleash his 5-pack of fantasy sleepers for the upcoming week. These players are going to make for great value plays while you construct your weekly DFS lineups.

New to Daily Fantasy? Head over to FanDuel.com and use Promo Code SCRIPT and get 100% match on your first deposit!

Be sure to tune in to The Sports’s Scripts two weekly fantasy football shows as well! The Fantasy Forecatser: Football is live on Tuesday at 10 PM EST and Sunday morning before kickoff at 11:30 AM EST! You can stream live or subscribe here.

For season-long fantasy football chatter, follow Ricky on Twitter @rickygangster!

The Fantasy Forecaster: Week 12 Start/Sit

Ricky was joined by fellow TSS writer Doug Moore and they discussed their Must Start/Must Sit for week 12.

Here is the short version of the show just telling who we picked.

You can also subscribe/download on iTunes here. Leave a rating, don’t be shy!

Make sure to follow Ricky (@rickygangster) and Doug (@DMM0822) on Twitter!

The guys will be back next week (November 25th)! Get your questions in on Twitter using the #TSS tag.

NFL Pick ‘Em; Bovada Bets for Week 11

Over the course of the last two football seasons I have played with some pocket change on Bovada.lv. It’s a website where you can bet on the lines of NFL games to MLB games to The Oscars (seriously). Over time I have had a lot of fun making bets. I usually partake in betting on straight lines, but I’ve also been known to get involved in other kinds, including sweetheart teasers.

What is a sweetheart teaser?

A sweetheart teaser for the most part plays out the same way as a regular teaser, except a sweetheart gives the bettors even more points. You can shift the line by 10 to 13 points in football (that’s nearly two touchdowns). There are a couple of differences. While regular teasers can include up to 10 teams, a sweetheart can include only three or four teams. Also, if any of your selections push on a sweetheart, you lose the entire bet.

Also, check out this link to gain a better understanding of the NFL spread betting.

As you can see, sometimes the gamble can be quite large when betting a teaser. Who doesn’t like a good risk once in a while? From this week forward, I am going to outline some of the bets I love, hate and my sweetheart teaser of the week!

Week 10 Recap:

Saints -6: Seriously the Saints go ahead with less than 2 minutes to go in the 4th and I’m ready to jump for joy as my sweetheart teaser is going to be 2 for 2! And them boom, Colin Kaepernick completes a 50-yard pass to Michael Crabtree, setting up the game-tying field goal. After that, the rest was history. I always bet the Saints at home, ugh.

Ravens -10: I won’t lie, I was a little nervous about this game and wasn’t sure we would get the cover. A late touchdown secured this bet though, making me a happy camper.

Steelers – 6: I talked this up all week everywhere! Trap game. I loved the Jets getting 6 points against a hot Steelers team. The masses have short attention spans. Recency bias, anyone? Sure, Pittsburgh had been on fire over the past couple of weeks, but they have been bad against teams with records below .500. The Jets actually ended up winning outright.

Sweetheart Teaser: The Jets did their part in this and the rest was just a disaster. The Saints blew it and the Panthers got murdered! Very sad day for the teaser.

Overall, I was 2-1 in the matchups but my teaser fell down for the week.

Week 11 is upon us and there are some very interesting matchups. Let’s dive right in; cannonball!

Week 11 bets I love:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 (-105)

Can someone please explain to me how the Washington Redskins are favorites by 7 points against anyone in the National Football League? That makes no sense and I am going to pounce on this game. I really don’t think Tampa is as bad as their record would tell us. This is what I like to call an easy money bet.

Cincinnati Bengals +7 1/2 (-115)

When the Bengals lose, they really lose. In their 3 losses, they’ve been outscored 84-20. Yikes! Still, a 7 and a half point spread is enticing. The orange and black have some fast, talented players, meaning the Saints’ 24th ranked pass defense will be on notice. This spread is too high in favor of the home team.

Week 11 bets I’m Avoiding:

San Diego Chargers -10 1/2

This bet will probably see a lot of action in favor of the Chargers but I think this Raiders team is going to play spoiler down the stretch. Oakland is 3 and 1 against the spread on the road this season. This smells like a trap game to me.

  • 49ers – 4 1/2
  • Giants + 4 1/2

I don’t like either side of this bet. Either team could come out and win. It’s hard to know which 49ers team will show up any given Sunday and the Giants have just had an odd season. Steer clear.

My sweetheart teaser lock of the week:

123

So you already know about my love for the Raiders this week, so let me talk about the other 2 bets on this week’s sweetheart teaser.

  • The Seahawks +7 (on the road against the Chiefs): This game really is a toss up. Kansas City could very well come out and beat this Seahawks team, I just don’t think it will be by a touchdown. Seattle just isn’t as good as they were a season go (obviously). Easy teaser here.
  • New England Patriots +9 (on the road against the Colts): The Colts are a very good football team but I think they are a bit overrated on the defensive side of the ball. Give Belichick and the Patriots two weeks to prepare for this Colts team and I will take 9 points wherever the game is. No chance the Pats fail to cover.

That’s a very confident teaser for me this week. So lets roll the dice and make some money, folks.

Ricky is a co-owner, fantasy sports writer and gambling man at The Sports Script. Follow him on the Twitter machine @rickygangster!

Waiver Wire Wizardry: Pickups for Week 11

Quarterback:

Drew Stanton (1% Y!): It’s Stanton time again as Carson Palmer went down in the 4th quarter on Sunday with what is being reported as a possible torn ACL in his left knee. If that is the case, Stanton would be the starting quarterback for the remainder of the season. He has led the Cardinals to 2 wins in 3 games so far this season without throwing a pick. He played well in relief of Palmer, including a 48-yard beauty of a pass to John Brown for the game-winning touchdown. Stanton has good working knowledge of the offense and isn’t afraid to throw the ball down the field. Given the weapons at Stanton’s disposal, he may be worth a look.

Eli Manning (57% Y!): We all thought Manning would be doomed after losing Rashad Jennings and Victor Cruz. Blasphemy! Even though the Giants are still losing, he’s still done pretty well for himself. Since week 4, Manning has thrown 8 touchdowns to just 1 interception. He played a decent game on Sunday against a tough Seattle defense, passing for 283 yards through the air with a touchdown. He has really connected with Odell Beckham, and the Giants are expected to get workhorse Rashad Jennings back soon. He should help to open up the passing game for New York when he returns. Manning is a decent option if you just lost Carson Palmer for the season.

Running Back:

Terrance West (55% Y!): West appears to have shaken control of the Cleveland’s committee backfield approach after rushing for 96 yards on 26 carries Thursday night, adding a touchdown. Head coach Mike Pettine insists that the Browns will ride the hot hand and the running back situation will remain fluid on a week-to-week basis though, limiting West’s immediate fantasy value. However, West has been really productive over the past couple of weeks and should continue to headline this running game in the weeks ahead. In such a run-heavy scheme, West needs to be owned in more than 55% of leagues. He makes for a solid weekly flex play.

Carlos Hyde (33% Y!): In limited action, Hyde did a hell of a job. He has only 4 carries for 36 yards, but found pay dirt. San Fransisco did a lot of good work on the ground and Hyde may be given more touches in the coming weeks. They have been conservative with aging tailback Frank Gore (he’s only had 20 carries twice all year) for most of the season and Carlos Hyde has shown that he can be trusted, making him valuable to owners even outside the obvious handcuff situation. Stay tuned.

Tre Mason (46% Y!): Mason gained 48 yards on 14 carries Sunday while adding 33 yards on 4 catches; a decent showing for the rookie tailback against a stout Niners defense. Labeled a “committee” by head coach Jeff Fisher, it’s clear that Mason is the lead runner. Not only is he their best option in the backfield, but may be their most talented weapon entirely on offense. Benjamin Cunningham did vulture a rushing score, but saw only 4 carries while Zac Stacy kept the bench warm. Mason should continue to get the bulk of the work for the Rams in the weeks to come, making him ownable in most leagues.

Wide Receiver:

Bryant
Bryant has the made the most of his opportunities since being inserted into Pittsburgh’s lineup

Martavis Bryant (62% Y!): Another week, another touchdown for Bryant. This is becoming a weekly occurrence for the 6 foot 5 Clemson standout. His touchdowns are usually the product of his ability to find open space in the red zone. However, his week 10 score came on an 80-yard catch-and-run play where Bryant showed off his wheels. Bryant was targeted 7 times and racked up 141 receiving yards Sunday against the Jets, signaling his WR3 upside. Antonio Brown of course dominates Roethlisberger’s looks, which leaves Bryant to fight Markus Wheaton for targets. Bryant played only 50% of Pittsburgh’s snaps on Sunday, but that was to be expected and it is clear that he makes the most of his opportunities. Go get’m.

Odell Beckham Jr. (68% Y!): Not only should this guy be owned, but he should be started in the vast majority of formats. He embarrassed Richard Sherman on a 44-yard pass and constantly won battles against all of Seattle’s corners on Sunday night. Beckham has evolved into the lesser Manning’s favorite target in recent weeks and is putting up big numbers. He’s got 264 yards receiving over the last two weeks to go along with 19 targets and 15 catches. Manning has been having trouble getting on the same page with Rueben Randle and teams are constantly focusing on Larry Donnell, leaving Beckham to reap the rewards. Put all the chips in the middle, this is probably your last call.

Tight End:

Mychal Rivera (33% Y!): Rivera has been a garbage time monster of late. It’s no news that the Raiders just aren’t very good, so it is likely that these scenarios will continue. Both Rivera and quarterback David Carr have been bright spots in in an offense that has otherwise been bad. Rivera has 26 targets, 21 catches and 3 touchdowns over his last 3 weeks, making him a valuable bye-week replacement for those in need. Rivera will likely be usable for the foreseeable future given the connection that he and Carr seem to have.

Charles Clay (57% Y!): Over the past two weeks, Clay has been targeted 17 times. During that span, he’s hauled in 12 passes for 110 yards and a touchdown. Still, Clay has yet to live up to the lofty expectations placed on him entering the season. However, considering how top-heavy the tight end position has been to date Clay is probably worth a look down the stretch.

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/aMGnFM

Doug Moore is a fantasy football contributor at The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @DMM0822!