Draft Scripts: Using NFBC ADP’s to evaluate Outfield

In anticipation of the FSTA draft this week, I continue my early look at NFBC ADP’s, concentrating on the top 200 in money drafts. While the names continue to shuffle others stay the same. Outfield will be about trust, mixing some power with guys who can steal some bases and catching that bargain that others either overlooked or were burned by last year. It is evident in the ADP information that it will take due diligence and maybe a little luck to hit on the breakouts this year. Due the fact there are forty nine names to digest I made one chart and took the liberty of splitting up their strengths by color:

Red – 20+ HR, 8 < SB (Power); Green – 10 < HR, 20+ SB (Speed); Blue – 10+ HR, 10+ SB (Blends)

Here is how the outfield stacks up. I listed their draft rank below and also inserted their average ADP’s in the NFBC drafts to give an early indicator of their value prior to Thursday’s FSTA draft.

OF NFBC Avg ADP Chart Update 2

Keeping with the format, I have processed each player drafted in the top 200 in charts with their respective Steamer Projections courtesy of Fangraphs.com. After each group I will give some thoughts about how the outfielders stack up and then move to the next one. The first two charts will be in groups of seventeen then the last group will round out to the 49 outfielders according to the ADP numbers.

Group One – 4 Power, 1 Speed and 12 Blends

OF NFBC Projection Chart 1-17

I mean the first seventeen at most positions should be rock solid and for the most part the outfielders are. I have sort of clumped some highlights into categories since the Golden Globes just happened, so here goes. By the way I am not scared of either Matt Kemp or Justin Upton in San Diego but I wrote about that already here.
Safety in numbers: Adam Jones, Baltimore
He is not flashy and is always a regression candidate and he just keeps producing. It is like you do not feel great drafting him at his ADP but he is consistent while not flashy, which in the first round is not so bad.
Bounce Back: Ryan Braun, Milwaukee
I was warning drafters last year to avoid Ryan, but I am back. Since his ADP is trending down, his health may be up and guys who produce 28 home runs and 12 steals are dwindling with a batting average near .300, so I am here with open arms.
Trust Issues: Michael Brantley, Cleveland; Carlos Gonzalez, Colorado
While I am intrigued by the price on Carlos Gonzalez, his checkered health past, last year makes him a very risky option this early. But he could deliver a season like Michael Brantley did last year. Let that marinate a minute. Brantley broke through for a strong 2014, are you feeling lucky paying for a repeat? If you are the cost may alarm you.
Wild Cards: Bryce Harper, Washington; George Springer, Houston
Two guys who could determine how teams finish. I mean there is a 25 home run and 15 steal season while hitting .290 just waiting for Harper who people seem to forget is only 22 years old. With batting averages dropping across baseball again, a guy who could hit 30 home runs and if his legs stay healthy, steal 20 is tolerable if he hits .240, but the .240 could be iffy. If Springer gets his average to .250, then he is a potential top 10 outfielder. There, I said it.
Upside Play: Starling Marte, Pittsburgh
At the same cost as Carlos Gonzalez who may strain a pinkie or Billy Hamilton I can get a poor man’s Jacoby Ellsbury who is younger with more upside? Twenty picks later? Absolutely.
Group Two – 6 Power, 2 Speed, 9 Blends

OF NFBC Projection Chart 18-34

Safety in numbers: Nelson Cruz, Seattle
It is clear that Nelson Cruz’s huge 2014 netted him the Mariners contract which is twofold, first he will protect Robinson Cano and second he adds a power right handed bat that they have craved. While I am not saying to invest heavily in a repeat, he can still hit 25 home runs and you know what you are getting with Cruz.
Bounce Back: Jay Bruce, Cincinnati
At a time when power hitters are craved a strong return by Jay Bruce at a deflated cost would be huge for his fantasy value. We know he can hit for power, or at least should, but will his batting average return to respectability? Or does the shift have another victim?
Trust Issues: Charlie Blackburn, Colorado; J.D. Martinez, Detroit
One had a career year in Coors field and the other was an outcast from the Astros and found success in Motown? If I had to pick from the two, I think a repeat in power by Martinez is possible with some losses in batting average but his Steamer projection supports a solid season. I think Blackburn is a nice story but to invest in him this early when there are other options available late is a tough pick to justify.
Wild Cards: Rusney Castillo, Boston; Jorge Soler, Chicaco Cubs
A Cuban theme here in the wild card section so all kidding aside, they both have immense ability. If Castillo can translate his winter season statistics to the major leagues then the Red Sox have an even deeper outfield and should be dealing Allen Craig sooner than later. Not to kill the theme, but a power hitting outfielder is becoming rarer and rarer, so Jorge Soler has to be on radars. Since he could hit more home runs without destroying a team’s batting average I may venture to gamble on him since he can develop over say a Jay Bruce….the shift….
Upside Play: Jason Heyward, St. Louis
On my tombstone it will read, he trusted in in Jason Heyward. He has not hit left-handed pitching, well, at all lately and even though I sang his praises from the rooftops last year Heyward was replaced in Atlanta by Nick Markakis? Yes, that Nick Markakis. I am not saying that 20/20 is a guarantee but would it surprise anyone that being a Cardinal unlocked his potential? Would not be the first guy to have that happen.
Group Three: 3 Power, 4 Speed, 7 Blends, Melky Cabrera

OF NFBC Projection Chart 35-49

Safety in numbers: There is not really safety out here….

Bounce Back: Shin-Soo Choo, Texas
With health, it is hard to imagine a prohibitive top twenty outfielder in 2014 draft preps has fallen so precipitously, but Choo has. How many owners did he upset? In NFBC formats this means he is a tenth round pick and chance well worth taking. Unless the curse of Kinsler is real.
Trust Issues: Same as the safety problem, there are going to be trust issues here as well. Just look at the ADP’s of Alex Rios and the aforementioned Choo.
Wild Cards: Avisail Garcia, Chicago White Sox; Yasmany Tomas, Arizona
It takes some stones to invest in players out here in drafts and when you see the pitching options you will see why I am going to get power and hitters early and try to target pitching later. But I will take a chance on Avisail Garcia here since he could have a ceiling of 20 home runs with ten steals at an ADP of 172 on average. All day every day. The White Sox are going to score some runs. Yasmany Tomas will come with some hype especially with the breakout that Jose Abreu had last year but I fear that Tomas will resemble a different White Sox teammate, Dayan Viciedo. Tread lightly here….
Upside: Gregory Polanco, Pittsburgh
There are all kinds of terms, post-hype sleeper for example, whatever you want to say I think Polanco had a tough go after his promotion last year but he is talented. After watching him in person I was a fan and he has presence. Though his ceiling in 2015 is probably 13 home runs and 25 stolen bases that is a bargain where he is going.
It is getting late so I am going to offer up one more chart with player that are beyond the top 200 in each category for outfield with their projections included. When you speak of me, please speak nicely.

OF NFBC Undrafted Chart with Projections Updated

Statistical credits: Baseball-Reference.com, Fangraphs.com, ESPN.go.com
Photo cred: http://goo.gl/DKf0LS

Check out FantasyRundown.com for all of our latest articles and other great fantasy content.

Greg Jewett is The Sports Script’s senior fantasy baseball writer. Follow him on Twitter @gjewett9!

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Transaction Scripts: Chris Young and Allen Craig

Bias is a not-so-funny word in society but it can creep into our fantasy sport tendencies. Players have a great year then struggle and whether the statistics can predict it or not. But to make sense of why a player’s production drops, if we as an owner were burned by a player, they fall of the radar. For starters, here are some blind profiles from outfielders in 2014:

CB Young's value is pointing up? What kind of world are we living in....
Chris Young’s value is pointing up. What kind of world are we living in?

Player A: 135 G, 68 R, 19 HR, 81 RBI, 11 SB .266/.324/.453
Player B: 126 G, 41 R, 8 HR, 46 RBI, 2 SB .215/.279/.315
Player C: 144 G, 47 R, 10 HR, 63 RBI, 7 SB .235/.285/.349
Player D: 123 G, 64 R, 10 HR, 36 RBI, 15 SB .244/.319/.378
Player E: 111 G, 40 R, 11 HR, 38 RBI, 8 SB .222/.299/.385

This comparison is not alarming (yet) by looking at the above numbers. It is clear that Player A would be the preferred one to own in this scenario until you see the price tag. But only one of the blind profiles did not possess an ADP below 110 this year. Injuries can wreak havoc on fantasy rosters but identifying players to avoid in the off-season can alleviate some of these problems. Player A did have some hot streaks but the questions about his health and rebound from controversy made him a player I avoided this year. In the same boat was Player B, who I did not draft either but the tail in his production was severe. Many hyped Players C and D entering the season but their price tags in drafts did not allow me to own them either. I have owned Player E before but his situation entering the season made him another one that I tried to avoid if possible. Before we delve into a nice comparison for 2015, here is each player with their respective ADP entering this year’s drafts:

Player A: Ryan Braun (11)
Player B: Allen Craig (57)
Player C: Dominic Brown (109)
Player D: Desmond Jennings (97)
Player E: Chris Young (NA)

How do you feel about each player now? Since Allen Craig and Chris Young will both play in the American League in 2015 and are only a year apart in age, I thought comparing the two would not only be fun, but could help determine who I would rather have late in drafts or in an AL-only format. Each player has had a very good career in the Major Leagues but seem to be on different paths. I am willing to bet that Allen Craig will be on many bounce back lists entering 2015 draft season but is he worth the risk? On the flip side, I am betting that people will say not to buy into the mirage that was Chris Young’s small sample size in the Bronx. It will be pointed out that Craig has a career slash line of .282/.337/.445 while Young’s is only .234/.313/427. As pure hitters, this is not a fair fight, but this is fantasy and owners want stats not career averages. So allow me to compare their 2014 seasons:

Chris Young: 111 G, 40 R, 11 HR, 38 RBI, 8 SB .222/.299/.385
Allen Craig:
126 G, 41 R, 8 HR, 46 RBI, 2 SB .215/.279/.315

I understand that Allen Craig was battling injuries all season but this is a three year decline in which he cannot blame on playing in Oakland and Citi Field as contributing factors like Chris Young can. But it is deeper than that. Here is a look at some of their peripheral statistics:

Allen Craig 2012: HR/FB% – 17.1, FB% – 33.3, SwStr% – 6.9
Allen Craig 2013: HR/FB% – 11.2, FB% – 11.2, SwStr% – 8
Allen Craig 2014: HR/FB% – 9.2, FB% – 24.9, SwStr% – 8.3

Chris Young 2012: HR/FB% – 12.1, FB% – 47.2, SwStr% – 7.3
Chris Young 2013: HR/FB% – 10, FB% – 49.8, SwStr% – 9.9
Chris Young 2014: HR/FB% – 8.3, FB% – 51.6, SwStr% – 8.4

So Allen Craig is trending down in fly balls, home runs per fly ball and his swinging strike rate is rising each of the last three seasons. In this same time Chris Young has seen a similar drop in home runs per fly ball rate but an increase in his fly ball rates each of the last three years and a drop in swinging strike percentage as well. With Young playing half of his home games in the bandbox in the Bronx, this has to have a positive effect upon his potential home run production in 2015. I can see a rebound in Craig’s average, runs and RBI playing in Boston, but will he ever hit 20 or more home runs again in a season? After his 22 dingers in 2012 he has hit a combined 21 the last two years. Returning from a foot injury does not suggest he will be stealing bases either. As much of a drain as Young can be on a team’s batting average, when he plays well, he can contribute across the other four fantasy categories. In fifteen fewer games last year Young only had one fewer run, three more home runs, eight fewer RBI and six more steals.

Staying with the theme, in an AL-only format some owners will be deciding between these two players when rounding out a roster. Due to his high ADP last year, Allen Craig will still figure into mixed leagues as well though I would be very wary to add him to my roster. Here is each of their respective stats during their brief stints in the American League last year:

Allen Craig in Boston: 29 G, 7 R, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB .128/.234/.191
Chris Young as a Yankee:
23 G, 9 R, 3 HR, 10 RBI, 1 SB .282/.354/.385

In no way shape or form am I suggesting that Young can maintain the slash lines he displayed in his Yankee debut, but if I had to gamble on which of these two players will be more valuable to fantasy players in 2015 I am taking Young over Craig. In fact, as much as I agree with the Mets signing Michael Cuddyer for their team chemistry and lineup needs, the Yankees paying 2.5 million for Young is actually a bargain and I think he could even provide more home runs and steals than Cuddyer. Statistics are a fun way to compare players and try to predict outcomes. Young was a bad fit at Citi Field and Cuddyer will be a much better Met than he was, but this is about numbers in fantasy. For 2015 I will take Young over both Cuddyer and Craig, especially at the price, which will be cheap on draft day.

Statistical credits: Baseball-Reference.com, Fangraphs.com, Fantasypros.com
Photo cred: http://goo.gl/EYider

Be sure to check out FantasyRundown.com for all the latest fantasy articles from around the web.

Greg Jewett is The Sports Script’s senior fantasy baseball writer. Follow him on Twitter @gjewett9!

Top DFS Plays for 08/19/14

*Top hitters and pitchers highlight exceptional matchups that may include stars, lesser-known players and those on your waiver wires.

When I put together my top hitters and pitchers I factor in several things. First, prior matchup history, whether the hitter is hot and the pitcher’s history against that type of batter. Also, these matchups are normally released in the morning so make sure that you double-check the weather leading up to games in case they were postponed or the player got the day off.

New to Daily Fantasy? Head over to FanDuel.com and use Promo Code SCRIPT and get 100% match on your first deposit!

Top DFS hitters for today:

Mike Napoli vs. Jered Weaver – hitting .345 (10/29) with 2 2Bs, 3 HRs, 3 RBIs & 5 BBs
Napoli has Weaver’s number and it showed in their last matchup as Nap took him deep.

Adrian Beltre vs. Jarred Cosart – hitting .667 (4/6) with 2 2Bs, 2 HRs & 4 RBIs

Adam Jones vs. Jose Quintana – hitting .556 (5/9) with a 2B, 2 HRs, 3 RBIs & 2 BBs

Michael Cuddyer vs. James Shields – hitting .412 (7/17) with 2 2Bs, a HR, 5 RBIs & 2 BBs

Ryan Braun vs. J.A. Happ – hitting .308 (8/26) with a 2B, a 3B, 3 HRs, 8 RBIs & 2 BBs

Justin Morneau vs. James Shields – hitting .341 (15/44) with 6 2Bs, 4 HRs, 11 RBIs & 2 BBs

Ricky’s HR Guarantee: Ryan Braun

Top DFS Pitcher for today:

Stephen Strasburg vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – Strasburg is looking to build off that last great start and can do so with this matchup against the D’Backs.

Movie of the Day – Aladdin – I am not a big Disney/Cartoon movie guy but this movie is amazing and Williams as Genie was just one of the biggest highlights from the film.

Script Splits: Using Advanced Stats to Rank OF vs RHP

Reddick is more than a "careless whisper" but has his swagger back slashing 307/356/560 vs RHP
Reddick is more than a “careless whisper” but has his swagger back, slashing .307/.356/.560 vs RHP

There were some great outfielders to target in the Splits series against left-handed pitching, but as I turn my attention to which ones to target against right-handed pitchers, it becomes a little riskier. Whereas nine outfielders have an OPS above 1.000 against southpaws, only Yasiel Puig and J.D. Martinez have the same success against right-handed pitchers. Of course this can be due to volume of at bats, but it is something to observe when constructing daily lineups. Targeting weak left-handed pitchers may be easier to predict as opposed to righties. This is one of the reasons that the Colorado pitching staff is one to target when possible due to their volume of left-handed pitchers. Of course Chris Sale and David Price are exceptions to this rule, it is food for thought. However, this is a look at how outfielder’s splits against right handed pitchers. Again, here are the parameters I am using to judge the outfielders using the following variables:

wOBA: Weighted On Base Average represents all the ways a player gets on base (HBP counts in this metric). It is used to measure a player’s overall offensive value.

ISO: Isolated Power  is simply a player’s slugging percentage minus his batting average.

OPS: On base plus Slugging is exactly what it’s surname suggests, adding together both statistics (OBP and SLG%). In the daily game being getting on base via the extra base hit is preferred.

AB/HR: A simple stat. How many homers does a player hit between each at bat? The fewer the better.

wRC+: Weighted Runs Created Plus A measure of how many runs a player creates. The “+” accounts for differing ballpark factors. So a player who’s home park is Coors is weighted to equal one in Citi Field, for example.

Because sites require three outfielders to be active, I will list the top twenty in each category before I rank them based on the average finish across all categories.

Outfielders versus right-handed Pitching (minimum 100 plate appearances):

wOBA:
1. Yasiel Puig .437
2. J.D. Martinez .429
3. Michael Brantley .422
4. Mike Trout .418
5. Andrew McCutchen .416
6. Corey Dickerson .410
7. A.J. Pollock .410
8. Kevin Kiermaier .400
9. Josh Reddick .396
10. Seth Smith .390
11. David Peralta .385
12. Danny Santana .383
13. Brett Gardner .382
14. Matt Kemp .381
15. Jose Bautista .379
16. Carlos Gomez .375
17. Ryan Braun .375
18. Jason Heyward .373
19. Giancarlo Stanton .370
20. Melky Cabrera .370

There are some interesting names to note here. Intriguing targets are emerging, one of them being Josh Reddick. The A’s outfielder has been red hot since his return from the disabled list. Another player who is making his way back from injury is A.J. Pollock. Kevin Kiermaier has also been quietly emerging in Tampa Bay. Even though Kiermaier has been hitting ninth, he provides great value in daily lineups against right-handed pitchers. The last player I will highlight in this list is David Peralta of the Diamondbacks who is not only a great story, but a favorite of longtime scout Bernie Pleskoff. With all of the injuries in Arizona, he may be a great player to target for teams who are pending the loss of Andrew McCutchen.

ISO:
1. Mike Trout .278
2. J.D. Martinez .269
3. Nelson Cruz .263
4. Yasiel Puig .259
5. Corey Dickerson .256
6. Josh Reddick .253
7. George Springer .251
8. Colby Rasmus .243
9. Kevin Kiermaier .242
10. Giancarlo Stanton .240
11. Brett Gardner .234
12. Andrew McCutchen .226
13. Brandon Barnes .221
14. Carlos Beltran .221
15. Ryan Braun .219
16. A.J. Pollock .216
17. Seth Smith .215
18. Michael Brantley .215
19. Oswaldo Arcia .204
20. Justin Upton .201

While it is no surprise to see Mike Trout at the top of the list, how about taking some time to recognize how good Brett Gardner has been this year? It was discussed on our podcast if he could hit 20 home runs this year, I said yes. Will he do it again next year? I am not willing to pay for it but it has happened before with a one-year power spike. Two boom or bust plays are on this list in Colby Rasmus and Oswaldo Arcia. Both have great power and in tournament play are interesting chances to take against a weak right handed pitcher.

OPS:
1. Yasiel Puig 1.014
2. J.D. Martinez 1.000
3. Mike Trout .979
4. Michael Brantley .971
5. Andrew McCutchen .967
6. Corey Dickerson .960
7. A.J. Pollock .941
8. Kevin Kiermaier .928
9. Josh Reddick .916
10. Seth Smith .895
11. David Peralta .884
12. Danny Santana .882
13. Brett Gardner .879
14. Matt Kemp .871
15. Giancarlo Stanton .870
16. Jose Bautista .867
17. Ryan Braun .864
18. Carlos Gomez .853
19. Melky Cabrera .843
20. Jason Heyward .841

I understand why some baseball people can be turned off by Yasiel Puig, but he has been proving he is no fluke. Love him or hate him, he is one of the only two with a 1.000+ OPS against righties along with surprise J.D. Martinez. It will be interesting to rank J.D. next year. He has tailed off some from his hot start after being promoted and his sustainability will be questioned.

AB/HR:
1. George Springer 13.9
2. Giancarlo Stanton 16.7
3. Colby Rasmus 16.8
4. Mike Trout 17.8
5. J.D. Martinez 17.8
6. Josh Reddick 18.8
7. Corey Dickerson 19.5
8. Josh Willingham 20.3
9. Carlos Gonzalez 20.6
10. Brett Gardner 21.4
11. Kevin Kiermaier 21.9
12. Jose Bautista 22.8
13. Kole Calhoun 23.3
14. Marlon Byrd 23.4
15. Matt Kemp 23.4
16. Travis Snider 23.9
17. Michael Brantley 24.1
18. Justin Upton 24.4
19. Torii Hunter 24.5
20. Seth Smith 25

In the boom or bust section are George Springer and Colby Rasmus. They appear in the power lists as they can run into a fastball at any time and hit one out. However, to rely on them on a day-to-day basis is tough due to their propensity to strike out or not make solid contact. With the injury to Andrew McCutchen, Travis Snider may see an uptick in his playing time against right-handed pitchers which coincides with his recent hot streak. Kole Calhoun and Michael Brantley are two players that represent a high floor against right-handed pitchers and are nice players to target on a daily basis.

wRC+:
1. Yasiel Puig 188
2. Michael Brantley 175
3. J.D. Martinez 174
4. Mike Trout 174
5. Andrew McCutchen 172
6. Kevin Kiermaier 162
7. A.J. Pollock 161
8. Josh Reddick 157
9. Seth Smith 155
10. Corey Dickerson 149
11. Matt Kemp 149
12. Danny Santana 146
13. David Peralta 144
14. Brett Gardner 142
15. Jason Heyward 140
16. Jose Bautista 139
17. Kole Calhoun 139
18. Carlos Gomez 139
19. Ryan Braun 138
20. Giancarlo Stanton 137

Although there are many familiar suspects, one player I have yet to highlight is Corey Dickerson who is having a great season in Colorado. He and Seth Smith represent great plays when they are at home against right-handed pitching.

Overall Rankings Based on Aggregate Averages (2014 Stats vs. RHP included):
1. J.D. Martinez – 160 AB, 24 R, 9 HR, 32 RBI, 2 SB, 350/382/619
2. Mike Trout – 302 AB, 51 R, 17 HR, 63 RBI, 11 SB, 311/389/589
3. Yasiel Puig – 301 AB, 51 R, 1 HR, 48 RBI, 7 SB, 339/416/598
4. Corey Dickerson – 215 AB, 37 R, 11 HR, 32 RBI, 6 SB, 321/383/577
5. Josh Reddick – 150 AB, 28 R, 8 HR, 26 RBI, SB, 307/356/560
6. Kevin Kiermaier – 153 AB, 20 R, 7 HR, 19 RBI, 4 SB, 314/373/556
7. Michael Brantley – 289 AB, 51 R, 12 HR, 51 RBI, 10 SB, 353/403/567
8. Andrew McCutchen – 337 AB, 49 R, 13 HR, 56 RBI, 16 SB, 323/418/549
9. A.J. Pollock – 139 AB, 19 R, 4 HR, 10 RBI, 6 SB, 338/389/554
10. Brett Gardner – 278 AB, 54 R, 13 HR, 41 RBI, 14 SB, 281/364/514
11. Seth Smith – 275 AB, 40 R, 11 HR, 26 RBI, SB, 295/386/509
12. Giancarlo Stanton – 334 AB, 55 R, 20 HR, 62 RBI, 8 SB, 266/364/506
13. George Springer – 233 AB, 33 R, 16 HR, 38 RBI, 3 SB, 242/315/493
14. Matt Kemp – 257 AB, 34 R, 11 HR, 36 RBI, 5 SB, 304/369/502
15. Colby Rasmus – 202 AB, 27 R, 12 HR, 28 RBI, 2 SB, 233/276/475
16. David Peralta 151 AB, 22 R, 4 HR, 20 RBI, 3 SB, 331/361/523
17. Danny Santana – 140 AB, 22 R, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 3 SB, 336/361/521
18. Jose Bautista – 296 AB, 52 R, 13 HR, 50 RBI, 5 SB, 274/397/470
19. Ryan Braun – 256 AB, 38 R, 10 HR, 50 RBI, 2 SB, 293/352/512
20. Carlos Gomez – 327 AB, 53 R, 11 HR, 40 RBI, 20 SB, 303/364/489

Bonus Plays:
1. Jason Heyward – 306 AB, 43 R, 7 HR, 34 RBI, 9 SB, 304/397/444
2. Melky Cabrera – 335 AB, 55 R, 9 HR, 40 RBI, 5 SB, 322/368/475
3. Adam Eaton – 261 AB, 40 R, HR, 21 RBI, 9 SB, 299/363/410

Do not let David Peralta slip under your radar. He is an undervalued source of HR/SB & will play in Arizona
Do not let David Peralta slip under your radar. He is an undervalued source of HR/SB and will play in Arizona

Even though J.D. Martinez made it to the top of the list based on the overall rankings averaged out, I am hesitant to roster him going forward. The league has adjusted to him and now it is up to him to adjust back. In the bonus plays section, Melky Cabrera plays in a high-octane offense and when Edwin Encarnacion comes back hitting second is really beneficial to him. Adam “Spanky” Eaton has been on fire lately and like Cabrera, hitting ahead of Jose Abreu has proven to be valuable as Eaton will score runs and steal bases ahead of him. These are great guys to have in case you are playing a Colby Rasmus or George Springer type with the hope of a home run as they provide a solid base of points with runs and hits. Many targets have been talked about so there are plenty of good plays in this group. With Yasiel Puig and Mike Trout’s price points, it is tough to get them with top pitching plays in daily fantasy so knowing who the bargains (David Peralta, Josh Reddick, Kevin Kiermaier) are allow for roster flexibility.

Statistical credits: Fangraphs.com, ESPN.com
Photo cred: http://goo.gl/UrV6Li (Reddick), http://goo.gl/BDjtqD (Peralta)

Greg Jewett is The Sports Script’s senior fantasy baseball writer. Follow him on Twitter @gjewett9!

Top DFS Plays for 08/05/14

*Top hitters and pitchers highlight exceptional matchups that may include stars, lesser-known players and those on your waiver wires.

When I put together my top hitters and pitchers I factor in several things. First, prior matchup history, whether the hitter is hot and the pitcher’s history against that type of batter. Also, these matchups are normally released in the morning so make sure that you double-check the weather leading up to games in case they were postponed or the player got the day off.

New to Daily Fantasy? Head over to FanDuel.com and use Promo Code SCRIPT and get 100% match on your first deposit!

Top DFS hitters for today:

Juan Lagares vs. Gio Gonzalez – hittin .364 (4/11) with a 2B, a 3B, a HR & 3 RBIs
Lagares is hitting .339 against LHP this season.

Giancarlo Stanton vs. Charlie Morton – hitting .385 (5/13) with 2 2Bs, 2 RBIs & 2 BBs

Nick Markakis vs. Mark Buehrle – hitting .435 (20/46) with with 5 2Bs, 2 HRs, 7 RBIs & 4 BBs

Adam Jones vs. Mark Buehrle – hitting .357 (10/28) with 2 2Bs, a HR, 5 RBIs & 3 BBs

Ryan Braun vs. Tim Lincecum – hiting .333 (7/21) with a 2B, 2 HRs, 7 RBIs & a BB

James Loney vs. Jason Hammel – hitting .316 (12/38) with 3 2Bs, 3 HRs & 9 RBIs

Ricky’s HR Guarantee: Ryan Braun

Top DFS Pitcher for today:

Dallas Keuchel vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Keuchel revived himself when I last recomended him and I expect another solid start against the crappy Phillies.

Movie of the Day – 2 Guns – Denzel & Marky Mark? Man this movie doesn’t get enough credit, I loved it!

Top DFS Plays for 07/22/14 (Happy Birthday Mum)

Today is my Mum’s birthday. HAPPY BIRTHDAY!

*Top hitters and pitchers highlight exceptional matchups that may include stars, lesser-known players and those on your waiver wires.

When I put together my top hitters and pitchers I factor in several things. First, prior matchup history, whether the hitter is hot and the pitcher’s history against that type of batter. Also, these matchups are normally released in the morning so make sure that you double-check the weather leading up to games in case they were postponed or the player got the day off.

New to Daily Fantasy? Head over to FanDuel.com and use Promo Code SCRIPT and get 100% match on your first deposit!

Top DFS hitters for today:

Chris Johnson vs. Jacob Turner – hitting .250 (3/12) with 2 2B, a HR and 4 RBI

Giancarlo Stanton vs. Mike Minor – hitting .263 (5/19) with 4 HR, 6 RBI and 8 walks
Minor has given up 12 HR to RHH this season. 5 Hits, 4 HR for Stanton against Minor. Stanton will go yard tonight, book it!

Dayan Viciedo vs. Bruce Chen – hitting .344 (11/32) with 3 HR, 7 RBI and a walk

Brian Dozier vs. Danny Salazar – hitting .625 (5/8) with 2 2B, a HR and 2 RBI
RHH are hitting .341 with 6 HRs and 15 RBIs. Dozier has 12 HRs against RHP this season.

Brewers Stack against Homer Bailey – Davis, Weeks, Braun & Gennett all hitting above .320 against Homer

Top DFS pitcher for today:

Scott Kazmir vs. Houston Astros
There are several reasons why I like this matchup:
Kaz is 6-1 with a 1.57 ERA and 43 strikeouts in 8 home starts, 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 12 K in 14 innings against the ‘Stros this season and he is 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA and a 17:3 K:BB in July.

Movie of the Day: Life Itself – The documentary is about the life of Roger Ebert. It’s a fantastic look inside the life of one of the biggest movie figures of all-time.

Follow Ricky on Twitter @Rickygangster!

The Sports Script Fan Duel MLB Lineup for 04/25

Who is excited baseball is back????? I know I am which also means that Daily Fantasy Baseball is back as well. I really enjoy DFS Baseball as it keeps you even more involved and keeps you up to date with guys you normally wouldn’t care about.

Had some great success in the early games and decided to get a little greedy and try the night-cap too and burnt me.

Well everything I am going to bring you my lineup in which I am playing over at FanDuel.com –RIGHT NOW IF YOU JOIN Fan Duel and make your 1st deposit using the Promo Code – SCRIPT – You will get 100% bonus match on it!!!!!!!! Just do it folks.
Which if you haven’t joined just click this link here: http://partners.fanduel.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_3360b_2

I am going to bring you the lineup I feel is the best for you to bring home some $$$ for the day. Early on we are fighting the guessing game but riding some of the guys hot bats to start the season.

The Sports Script Fan Duel MLB Lineup for 04/25
lineup

Here is a few reasons I like these guys tonight.

Miguel Cabrera vs. Kevin Correia – hitting .393 (11/28) with 2 2Bs, a HR, 8 RBIs & 2 BBs
Early in the week Miggy owners were in panic mode and selling him, today you couldn’t get him if you tried. 6 hits in the last 3 games and he has a matchup against Correia who is struggling against RHP this season. They are hitting .360 against him and this is the easy no brainer pick of the day.

Pedro Alvarez vs. Shelby Miller – hitting .231 (3/13) with 3 HRs, 3 RBIs & a BB
This is just a gut play today. Miller has struggled against lefties and Alvarez has struggled against RHP. I think Alvarez takes Miller deep tonight.

Don’t forget to tune into the Fantasy Forecaster each and every Wednesday at 9 PM EST here: http://www.blogtalkradio.com/foryourconsideration or download the show on iTunes by clicking the link here. https://itunes.apple.com/podcast/the-sports-script/id850876078?mt=2

The Sports Script Fan Duel MLB Lineup for 04/17 (Late)

Who is excited baseball is back????? I know I am which also means that Daily Fantasy Baseball is back as well. I really enjoy DFS Baseball as it keeps you even more involved and keeps you up to date with guys you normally wouldn’t care about.

Another solid day over at Fan Duel, I hope you have been following along and been making some $$$.

Well everything I am going to bring you my lineup in which I am playing over at FanDuel.com – Which if you haven’t joined just click this link here: http://partners.fanduel.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_3360b_2

I am going to bring you the lineup I feel is the best for you to bring home some $$$ for the day. Early on we are fighting the guessing game but riding some of the guys hot bats to start the season.

The Sports Script Fan Duel MLB Lineup for 04/17

lineup

Here are a few reasons why I like these matchups.

James Shields vs. Houston Astros – SHIELDS vs. THE ASTROS!!!!!!

Evan Longoria vs. CC Sabathia – hitting .396 (21/53) with 6 2Bs, 6 HRs, 13 RBIs & 12 BBs

DJ LeMahieu vs. Ian Kennedy – hitting .417 (5/12) with 3 2Bs, 3 RBIs & a BB

Ryan Braun vs. Edinson Volquez – hitting .355 (11/31) with a 2B, a HR, 3 RBIs & 5 BBs

Don’t forget to tune into the Fantasy Forecaster each and every Wednesday at 9 PM EST here: http://www.blogtalkradio.com/foryourconsideration or download the show on iTunes by clicking the link here. https://itunes.apple.com/podcast/the-sports-script/id850876078?mt=2

 

 

 

The Sports Script Fan Duel MLB Lineup for 04/11

Who is excited baseball is back????? I know I am which also means that Daily Fantasy Baseball is back as well. I really enjoy DFS Baseball as it keeps you even more involved and keeps you up to date with guys you normally wouldn’t care about.

Yesterday was a throw away day in daily baseball. Small slates can be annoying.

Well everything I am going to bring you my lineup in which I am playing over at FanDuel.com – Which if you haven’t joined just click this link here: http://partners.fanduel.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_3360b_2

I am going to bring you the lineup I feel is the best for you to bring home some $$$ for the day. Early on we are fighting the guessing game but riding some of the guys hot bats to start the season.

The Sports Script Fan Duel MLB Lineup for 04/11

This my lineup if you go top flight priced pitching in Fernandez.

line

Here are a few reason’s I picked these guys.

Jose Fernandez vs. Phillies – The Phillies have been terrible on offense and Fernandez has been lights out. Easy decision.

Pablo Sandoval vs. Jorge De La Rosa – hitting .323 (10/31) with 4 2Bs, a HR, 4 RBIs & 2 BBs

Jason Kubel vs. Bruce Chen – hitting .429 (6/14) with 2 2Bs, a HR & a RBI

This lineup is for if you want to stay on the cheap end of pitching and try to load up on batters.


lineup

Another Lineup I am throwing out today.
lineup2
Don’t forget to tune into the Fantasy Forecaster each and every Wednesday at 9 PM EST here: http://www.blogtalkradio.com/foryourconsideration or download the show on iTunes by clicking the link here. https://itunes.apple.com/podcast/the-sports-script/id850876078?mt=2