The Fantasy Forecaster: Week 3 Start/Sit

Ricky was joined by fellow TSS writer Doug Moore and they discussed their Must Start/Must Sit for week 3

Here is the short version of the show just telling who we picked.

 Here is the show in full with explanation of why we picked each guy.

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Make sure to follow Ricky (@rickygangster) and Doug (@DMM0822) on Twitter!

The guys will be back next week (September 23)! Get your questions in on Twitter using the #TSS tag.

The Weekly Stream: Defense; Week 3

Chandler Jones was all over Matt Cassel like Elvis on a pound of bacon this Sunday.

Chandler Jones was on Matt Cassel like Elvis on a pound of bacon Sunday.

Week 2 was nuts, both on and off the field. There were injuries all over, reports of domestic violence and child abuse and big upsets. Hop aboard and let’s take a nice ride down the stream!

New England Patriots: New England is almost universally 100% owned in leagues but if they happen to be on your waiver wire pick them up! They play Oakland this week, and after their huge game at Minnesota, I think we will see much of the same in against the Raiders.

Indianapolis Colts:  Andrew Luck and company head to Jacksonville, who, putting it lightly, have trouble scoring. The Eagles (14) and Redskins (18) have both put up double-digit fantasy points on defense against this squad. The Colts are about to enjoy their slice of the pie. The Colt defense is widely available and has looked improved. Playing against a bad offense should get them on track, I like Indy as a streaming option this week.

Houston Texans: After two big time performances, Houston should be owned in more than 63.5% of leagues (ESPN). Houston heads to the Big Apple and are seem ready to take a bite. The Giants have given up double-digit fantasy points to both opposing defenses thus far. Injuries, inconsistency and adapting to a new offense are the perfect ingredients for a Texans blowout. Bonus: Houston has a great week 4 matchup too so if you get them, you’ll want to keep them longer than just this week.

Dallas Cowboys: I know, the only thing you’ve heard all season about the Dallas defense is that it’s well, horrid. This pick is 100% matchup based. America’s team is playing the Rams who let Minnesota’s suspect defense walk all over them in week 1, including two picks (and one for a defensive score). The purple and gold also got to the Rams 3rd string QB five times in a 34-6 route. I think Dallas has a chance to rack up the points against a poor offense.

San Diego Chargers: Remember my opening paragraph? The NFL was weird last week; let’s focus on the Chargers on this one. So far San Diego has played the Cardinals and Seahawks. Both known for defense, yes, but each team can score. The Chargers defense has done well against both of them and I expect better production against the Buffalo. Sammy Watkins will get his share, but in the end I think San Diego has the last laugh. Can you believe the Chargers beat Seattle last week?!

There you have it! I hope you enjoy reading as much as I enjoy writing weekly. Good luck.

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/8k7DDm

Jared “Minnesota Nice” Hines is a fantasy football contributor at The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @Jared_Hines27!

Ricky’s Week 3 5-Pack Fantasy Sleepers

Each week, Ricky Valero will unleash his 5-pack of fantasy sleepers for the upcoming week. These players are going to make for great value plays while you construct your weekly DFS lineups.

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Be sure to tune in to The Sports’s Scripts two weekly fantasy football shows as well! The Fantasy Forecatser: Football is live on Tuesday at 10 PM EST and Sunday morning before kickoff at 11:30 AM EST! You can stream live or subscribe here.

For season-long fantasy football chatter, follow Ricky on Twitter @rickygangster!

Ricky’s Week 2 Fantasy Review

Welcome aboard to the 1st edition of Ricky’s Fantasy Review. I am going to breakdown some of the happenings in the week that it was, also giving you a recap of how my 5-Pack sleepers and My Start/Sit picks did as well, so some weeks you’ll be reading me brag about how awesome I am or some weeks you’ll be joining me for the traditional shower cry.

Week 2 in the NFL was a crazy one indeed, just before kickoff we got the news that Carson Palmer would not be playing, the status of Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jefferies were in question, DeAngelo Williams found his way on the unactive list and Greg Hardy went from active to inactive in a span of 25 minutes. But folks it didn’t stop there at all, within a 10 minutes span to open the week we saw injuries to players left and right, crippling Fantasy owners across the board.

Enough about all the depressing happenings and let’s talk about how my 5-Pack Fantasy Sleepers performed this week.

Ryan Tannehill was my QB and just couldn’t take advantage of what I thought was a fantastic matchup. He did throw for 241 yards and a TD and a late garbage time touchdown may have made this into a nice little pick but instead a late INT cemented him as just a mediocre pick for this week.

Mark Ingram was RB and he balled out folks. He rushed for 83 yards on 11 carries and caught 3 passes for 21 yards and added a rushing TD as well. Ingram is looking mighty good through the 1st two weeks of the season.

Andrew Hawkins was my WR pick and he showed me some serious love this week. Now when he fell on the game clinching catch at the end of the game and he would’ve scored, I about cried but none the less Hawkins caught 6 catches for 70 yards on 12 targets. Hawkins is looking like a really solid play week to week in PPR formats.

Charles Clay was my TE pick for the week and he just ended the game with a UGH game. He did finish with 7 catches but only 31 yards on those 7 catches. I wouldn’t say he was a complete “dud” but he didn’t exactly kill it either for me.

My D was the Titans, I really started leaning against this matchup as the week went on but while they didn’t end up in the negative (6 points on most Daily sites) they didn’t kill it either.

Overall: It wasn’t a terrible week for me but I didn’t kill it either. Ingram was my bright spot for the week

Now let’s dig into my Start/Sit Hit’s and Misses

Must Start hits

Andy Dalton (15/23 – 252 yards & a TD) – While he wasn’t as dominate as I thought he would be Dalton connected with Sanu on a 76 yard bomb that reversed what would’ve been a tough day for Dalton owners.

Zach Ertz - (4 catches for 86 yards) – While he didn’t find the endzone in the game, Ertz made some big plays again in the passing game.

Must Sit hits

Tony Romo - (19/29 – 176 yards & a TD) – He wasn’t flashy at all and they didn’t need him to be either. Murray carried the load and Romo failed to throw a INT.

Eddie Lacy - (61 total yards) – The Jets shot out to a huge lead early and took Lacy out of the game.

Any Oakland WR - This is a shout out to anyone not named James Jones.

Must Start Misses

Shane Vereen - (40 total yards) – I think this one hurts a little too much to talk about for me.

Kendell Wright - (3 catches for 31 yards) – Wright just couldn’t take advantage of this great matchup and that is tough to watch.

Denver D - (24 points & 380 total yards) – The Chiefs team that played in Week 2 was totally different from Week 1.

Must Sit Misses

James Jones - (9 catches for 112 yards & a TD) – UGH REALLLLLLLLLLLLLY?

Antonio Gates - (7 catches for 96 yards & 3 TDs) – Did someone tell the Seahawks that Gates was old and slow? Cause I sure didn’t see anyone covering the guy.

Overall as a whole, week 2 wasn’t too terrible for me but it surely wasn’t great. Week 3 seems like a good week to put the pieces all together and just kill it, right? I think so.

Follow me on Twitter @Rickygangster!

Waiver Wire Wizardry: Pickups for Week 3

Kirk CousinsQuarterback:

Kirk Cousins (8% Y!): So first, if you have a weak stomach, please don’t watch RG3’s ankle injury. Unfortunately for RG3, he suffered a dislocated ankle and will be out a minimum of a month if not longer. If he needs to have surgery, then he could be lost for the season. In either case, Kirk Cousins needs to be owned as a QB2. In a pocket-passer style offense, Cousins is the much better fit than RG3 who is more of an option QB. Cousins came in yesterday and did a great job despite losing DeSean Jackson not too long after and of course, not having Jordan Reed on the field either. He threw for 250 yds and 2 TDs against Jacksonville and has a very nice matchup next week against a weak Eagles secondary. If Reed and/or Jackson are back for Week 3, Cousins could be bumped to a high-end QB2 and make for a nice DFS play.

Joe Flacco (35% Y!): Despite being given a huge contract last offseason, Joe Flacco is a much more valuable football QB than fantasy QB. But after seeing what he and the Ravens did to the Steelers on Thursday, I’m convinced he warrants at least QB2 consideration. Their play-calling on offense by Gary Kubiak helped them dice up Pittsburgh’s defense and it also showed just how many weapons Flacco has. Steve Smith has quickly become Flacco’s favorite target, and he has Torrey Smith, TD vulture Owen Daniels, Dennis Pitta, Bernard Pierce, and check-down machine Justin Forsett. Flacco is facing a rather tough CLE defense this week but the Browns’ secondary is beatable so I expect Flacco to be a QB2 this week and going forward and is going to be one of the better BYE week replacements.

Running Back:

Knile Davis (18% Y!): He is my #1 WW pick-up this week by far. Davis has always been talented for sure and could even contend for being the #1 RB on some teams but he was just stuck behind Jamaal Charles. That all changed Sunday when Charles went down with an ankle injury. Davis didn’t disappoint, having over 100 combined yards, 6 receptions, and 2 rushing TDs. Charles has a high-ankle sprain, which is usually a multiple week injury and if the Chiefs are smart, they will sit Charles until he is fully healthy rather than rush him back. Having Davis to take over for him in the mean time only helps the Chiefs to sit Charles. Davis is a MUST-OWN in all formats and in any size league. Put your house up for him, he is just THAT good.

Donald Brown (8% Y!): DISCLAIMER: I am not telling you to add Donald Brown because of his talent like Knile Davis, I am telling you to add him because of volume. Brown has never been impressive to me in his NFL career and he still wasn’t on Sunday. But with Ryan Mathews going down for a month or so with a knee injury, Brown is a must-add in most leagues. He is in a run-heavy offense and since Woodhead is more of a pass-catcher and not intimidating as a runner, Brown is going to pick up most of the carries. He will also get looks in the pass game but Brown is an almost-lock for at least 15 carries a game and could end up doing nicely as a RB3/FLEX until Mathews gets back.

Khiry Robinson (17% Y!): A breakout favorite this off-season and preseason, Robinson has unfortunately received minimal work so far through two weeks with Ingram doing so well as their lead RB. But, news just passed yesterday that Ingram will miss the next 4-6 weeks with a broken hand. That opens the door for Robinson to get a lot more looks and touches, especially in the running game. Pierre Thomas is a more of a passing-down back while Robinson is more of a hybrid between receiving and rushing. Robinson will see the majority of carries while Ingram is down and could be in line for high-end RB3/FLEX production if not better while in this role. He is my #2 WW pick up for this week.

Bobby Rainey (21% Y!): Despite facing a strong Rams run defense, Bobby Rainey shredded it for over 140 yards rushing on Sunday. Doug Martin did practice all week last week but on Sunday, suddenly was not playing. It leads to two hypotheses, that either his knee injury got worse all of a sudden, or that he is falling out of favor with the Buccaneers coaching staff already. Regardless of what it is, Martin should be considered questionable for week 3 against a juicy Falcons defense. If Martin doesn’t go or is limited, Rainey is a great add this week as the Falcons have been torched when it comes to their run defense. He didn’t have a particularly good season last season but under a new coaching staff and scheme, it’s looked to help him so far. Pick up Rainey and if he does start week 3, he is instantly a RB2 if not better considering what he did on Sunday and who he is facing.

Wide Receiver:

Mohamed Sanu (8% Y!): AJ Green re-aggravated his foot/toe injury Sunday and the Bengals’ official website is predicting he won’t be back until week 5 (week 4 is their bye week), which would mean he misses this Sunday’s match-up. In steps Mohamed Sanu, who had over 80 yards receiving and a TD on Sunday. With Marvin Jones still recovering from surgery, Sanu has been the #2 WR for CIN the first two weeks. But with Green out, Sanu steps into that #1 WR role and could have a great game against TEN, who lost their #1 CB this off season. He is a great DFS player as the #1 WR pick up and could put up a WR3 game if not better. Pick him up if you are dealing with an AJ Green or DeSean Jackson injury.

James Jones (21% Y!): Signed this off-season from GB, James Jones was originally thought to be their #1 WR. Last week, he did not have the kind of game you would expect from a #1 WR despite having a TD catch. This week, he was fed the ball and played like their #1 WR. He was targeted 14 times, had 9 catches for 114 yards and a TD. He is certainly the most talented WR of the bunch in OAK and should be the go-to/veteran guy that rookie Derek Carr continues to look towards in the passing game. OAK, after seeing what Jones and Carr did together in week 2, will work to get Jones a lot of looks again for week 3 and going forward. His situation warrants WR3 stats from here on in and has mid-WR3/FLEX status this week facing the Patriots even if he faces Revis because of how many looks Jones will get.

Miles Austin (9% Y!): Don’t pull a hammy reading this please, or otherwise you’ll jinx Austin. As both I and Ricky said on this past Sunday’s show, Austin was in line for a good game with Jordan Cameron being out and he didn’t disappoint. He had 10 targets, 6 catches, 44 receiving yards, and a TD. As long as Austin stays healthy, he has a good shot to put up these stats every week until Gordon and/or Cameron returns. Cameron suffered a re-aggravation of his shoulder injury and could be out for an extended amount of time to ensure that he doesn’t get rushed back too quickly. If that is the case, Brian Hoyer will continue to throw towards Austin and Andrew Hawkins (see below). CLE has looked really good on offense so far when compared to expectations. Hoyer has been stable, their running game has been solid, and their passing game will continue to improve, so Austin is a great add for this week, especially for DFS against a CB-needy Ravens team.

Andrew Hawkins (32% Y!): Through 2 weeks, Hawkins has 22 targets. That is good enough for top 10 in the NFL, and nothing more should be said. Hoyer loves throwing to Hawkins and it has shown in both targets and the stats that Hawkins has put up so far. Hawkins also has 14 receptions through 2 weeks and that is also good enough for top 10 in the NFL. In PPR, Hawkins is a must-add right now as his arrow will only go up as the weeks progress. Hoyer will continue to look Hawkins’ way and will keep putting up solid stats. Despite only having 70 yards and 6 catches in Week 2, Hoyer did miss Hawkins on some big throws that would’ve boosted Hawkins’ day exponentially. Go out and grab him as a WR4 in standard, but is a nice WR3/FLEX play in PPR moving forward.

Tight End:

Larry Donnell (21% Y!): I was skeptical to put Donnell on this list for last week because I was worried of a flash-in-the-pan performance from him and considering the NYG TE situation as well. But after two weeks of being the top receiver for the Giants, it’s time to add him before it’s too late. He has 12 receptions, 137 yards receiving, and 1 TD through two games, good enough for top 10 in TE so far. He will continue to be looked at by Eli until he can handle the west-coast offense better. He is a low-end TE1 going forward, making him a must-own in every format. This is not a fluke or flash-in-the-pan, he looks like the go-to guy for Eli.

Niles Paul (4% Y!): A little bit of the same scenario for Paul as with Donnell, I was worried it was a flash-in-the-pan performance he had week 1. But he also has Jordan Reed in front of him, but Paul has done well while Reed has been sidelined. And knowing Reed’s injury history, he could be out next week as well if the Redskins take the conservative path and let him be 100% again. If that is the case (and very well could be), Paul is a great DFS play this week and could put up another TE1 week on Sunday. Keep in mind, Kirk Cousins is the QB now, and both he and Paul were both 2nd stringers and practiced a lot together, so they may have a better connection then people realize. Grab Paul this week.

Owen Daniels (12% Y!): In a TE-friendly offense run by Gary Kubiak, you just can’t count out his main man Owen Daniels. That held true this past Thursday as Daniels caught all 5 of his targets from Flacco and secured two TDs as well. Kubiak just loves Daniels all the way back to their Houston days together and it could be a season of Daniels stealing looks from Dennis Pitta and also TDs as well. Daniels is not the #1 TE in Baltimore, but he could very much sap away targets and RZ looks from Pitta with Kubiak at the helm. You could find worse TE2 options going forward than Daniels moving forward. Kubiak’s TE-heavy offense is enough to keep Daniels relevant.

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/LEFvnH

Doug Moore is a fantasy football contributor at The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @DMM0822!

Eight In The Box: IDP Waiver Wire Week 2

Chris LongThe first week of play saw some significant injuries on the defensive side of the ball. I will be here each week to go over any injuries and what that means to those situations while covering potential beneficiaries on the IDP front.

Let’s get to it.

First, let’s cover some injury news:

  • Chris Long (STL DE): Long injured his left ankle when it got rolled early in the 3rd quarter. He wasn’t effective in the game and didn’t accrue any counting stats. William Hayes would fill in if Long is out for an extended period but he isn’t worth picking up at this point
  • Mike DeVito (KC DE): DeVito ore his achilles and is out for the rest of the year. He wasn’t a great option but it may affect Dontario Poe moving forward as DeVito was able to pick up blockers. The Chiefs signed Kevin Vickerson to replace DeVito but he isn’t worth your time
  • Jadeveon Clowney (HOU LB): Clowney tore his lateral meniscus and will miss 4-6 weeks of action (maybe more). This is a disappointment for anyone in big play leagues (1 pt per tackle vs 4+ pts per sack). His replacement is most likely Whitney Mercilus who has a first round pedigree but has been mostly disappointing over the past two seasons
  • Derrick Johnson (KC LB): This is probably the biggest injury for IDP’ers in week 1. Johnson is a solid 100 tackle LB that was probably the anchor of your defense. His probable replacements are Josh Mauga and James-Michael Johnson but neither are expected to do much.  Of more importance is that if your running back is playing against the Chiefs moving ahead his matchup just got a whole lot better.
  • Zach Brown (TEN: LB): Brown tore his pectoral and will miss the rest of the year. This will free up Zaviar Gooden who has the speed and skills to be of some value. Gooden will get the opportunity and is worth a speculative add in case he gets the job done. He will be competing with Wesley Woodyard for tackle opportunities but he has the edge.
  • Jerrell Freeman (ID LB): Freeman pulled his hammy. It’s too bad, as he was having quite the game prior to the injury. Even with D’Qwell Jackson next to Freeman in the middle he was able to rack up 7 tackles. Assuming this injury isn’t too serious Freeman should be a solid contributor.
  • Robert Mathis (IND LB): Mathis tore his achilles as well. I wouldn’t be surprised if Mathis struggles to get back to normal. Mathis tore his achilles working out on his own last week as he was on suspension. He is done for the year.
  • Dannell Ellerbe (MIA LB): Ellerbe injured his hip and was placed on injured reserve. His 2014 campaign is also over.
  • Koa Misi (MIA LB): Misi injured his ankle and it sounds like a high ankle sprain. He will be out for an extended period of time. The Dolphins LB core is depleted so it’s good news for the Bills coming to town next week. The Dolphins signed Kelvin Sheppard.
  • Vontaze Burfict (CIN: LB): The Bengals linebacker left early with a concussion. Everyone knows what that means by now; check the reports and see if he passes the protocol for next week. If he is out expect Vincent Rey and Emmanuel Lamur to benefit. Both players could have some fantasy impact.

Who’s on the wire?

DL:

  • Justin Smith (SF DE): Just keeps chugging away and ended the game with 2 sacks and 2 tackles. He is nothing special but in deeper leagues he is a solid option
  • Sen’Derrick Marks (JAC DT): Built upon his nice preseason picking up a sack. In leagues that require defensive tackles he is someone to get on your radar. Very disruptive up the middle.
  • Wallace Gilberry (Cin DE): Had a nice outing opposite Carlos Dunlap while picking up 1.5 sacks. With Michael Johnson now in Tampa, Gilberry has a chance to surprise. If he can hold off Marques Hunt he could be in line for 8-10 sacks.

LB:

  • Sio Moore (OAK LB): Lit up the stat sheet with 11 tackles and a sack. Some of it was helped by Nick Roach being inactive but I like Moore to keep this up. He is moving into his second year and has the potential for games like this all year long.
  • Jamie Collins (NE LB): He is taking on a full time roll and should continue the strong tackle numbers.
  • Emmanuel Lamur (CIN LB): Had a nice start to the year with 5 tackles, 6 assists and a pick. He received extra time with Burfict going out with a concussion but this should earn him more reps and worth a look in deep formats.
  • Jarvis Jones (Pit LB): Disappointed last year and has probably been forgotten in many leagues. In big play leagues he is worth a look as he has a chance for double digit sacks if he continues to develop.
  • Christian Kirksey (CLE LB): This is a speculative suggestion as he isn’t on the field much. I expect by the end of the season he will be worth a roster spot.
  • Keenan Robinson (WAS LB): Picked up six tackles and a fumble recovery in his debut as London Fletcher’s replacement in the middle for Washington. If you are looking for a high floor tackle guy Robinson may be a low cost option

DB:

  • Antoine Cason (CAR CB): Was busy with 9 tackles but he also picked off a pass.  The Panthers DL is gonna pressure the QB and Cason may be the beneficiary with quick tackle opportunities.
  • Donte Whitner (CLE S): Racked up a ton of tackles (12 solos) as he played the entire game. He should get a lot of opportunity in Cleveland and is worth picking up if available.
  • Leodis McKelvin (BUF CB): Had 13 solo tackles which will probably never happen again but he is just good enough to be close to the receivers and just bad enough to be targeted. That is the recipe for a great IDP season. If your league also awards for return yardage he is the punt returner, so you get a bonus there.
  • Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (GB S): May not have played a ton of snaps but he was all over the place when he was in there. He picked up a sack and will be in line for more of that once he starts picking up more playing time. You may want to give him another week to see if it continues but if you have the space he might be a low cost stash.

Photo cred: http://goo.gl/rc0Q1k

Shane Gallimore is a fantasy football contributor for The Sports Script. Follow him on Twitter @Gally4!

 

The Fantasy Forecaster: Baseball 9/10/14

The dynamic duo is back! In this, the final 2014 installment of TFF: Baseball, Ricky, Tim and Jeff give a look ahead to 2015.

You can stream on-demand here.

You can also subscribe/download on iTunes here. Leave a rating, don’t be shy!

Make sure to follow Timothy (@TKing978), Ricky (@rickygangster) and Jeff (@InfirmaryReport) on Twitter!

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